Which Movie Should Win The Best Animated Feature Oscar?

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Will Win: Frozen

Should Win: The Wind Rises

Likely To Steal: The Croods

I only saw The Croods so I'm ineligible to say.

Frozen is the only one here that won a following large and active enough to get blog posts and cover images on Facebook as well as a sing-along version in the making. The others I've never heard of or never heard of after their initial release. They kind of flopped over and died after everyone interested had a look at them as far as I know.

The Wind Rises will not be forgotten, it's a Miyazaki movie after all, and it's last one at that.

I'm glad you said "as far as you know."

Frozen did have the advantage of being the most recent entry and a very aggressive marketing campaign (Buena Vista's muscle showing once again) but I do wonder whether its American popularity translated overseas; Disney rather shot themselves in the foot advertising-wise by pushing forward Olaf and Sven so much as though the movie was specifically about them (though thankfully Disney France and Disney Japan amongst others did their own thing and actually showed Elsa and Anna's story) and over here, movies released in December don't tend to do that well - but considering the theme, I guess Disney had no choice but to rush it out internationally-speaking (usually they hold off till half-term in February, as proved by Wreck It Ralph and that Muppets movie). I didn't care for Frozen myself but it struck a chord with people, so it shows what I know.

Anyway, The Croods actually did phenomenally well overseas, nominated for several dozen awards pre-Oscar and is one of Dreamwork's biggest profit-generators (running only second to the original Kung Fu Panda).

I'm rather hoping The Croods will win because Dreamworks honestly deserve a break. If not The Croods, then Ernest and Celestine to show American studios that 2D is just as viable a medium as 3D for storytelling.

Frozen will probably win because Disney always does (though I had to laugh that they had no confidence in Pixar following the non-submission of Monsters University). With no disrespect to Studio Ghibli, I'm rather hoping the Wind Rises misses out -- I don't like Disney stamping their name on a project they had absolutely nothing to do with until the last minute. I think it was a very cheap Oscar-securing insurance move in case Frozen hadn't worked out (which it did).

And on a steal category, Despicable Me 2 -- I don't know how or why it's so popular but Illumination Entertainment should be congratulated for making it big and coming out of nowhere so quickly.