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Is it possible for humans to organize in a way that eliminates the need for a power hierarchy, or are we all just too f****d up?
Yes, we can do it! 40%  40%  [ 23 ]
Nah, not for another thousand years, at least. 60%  60%  [ 34 ]
Total votes : 57

JakobVirgil
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24 Sep 2012, 2:45 pm

GGPViper wrote:
JakobVirgil wrote:
So why did you make the weak choices of Ostrom and Captain Side burns when you had much better choices off the top of your head?
Because you were holding back your amazing mind as not to hurt me?


That particular aspect of altruism is not part of my repertoire.

Oh, and Ostrom is not a "weak" choice. I choose her because you attacked the empirical content of Rational Choice, and I - naturally - responded with the best example of the empirical content of Rational Choice... Which is "Governing the Commons". And who is Captain Sideburns? (awesome title, by the way)

JakobVirgil wrote:
Yes a lot of Dumb-asses and pseudo-scientists were given fake Nobel prizes in economics.
Economics has yet to become a predictive science even with all the prizes, misapplied math and Just so stories.


One moment. I just have to rebound from the astonishing number of peer-reviewed articles present in your post. In fact, It might take me decades to survey this treasure trove of bibliography.

I assume that your omission of my previous illustrations of *actual* examples of The Tragedy of the Commons - predicted by Rational Choice theory and very much real - is due to a lapse of memory alone, and not a deliberate attempt to evade the harsh realities of... reality?

JakobVirgil wrote:
You have yet to make an argument that is not an appeal to authority.
not one.


This is the part where I should include the famous Kevin Spacey quote from Superman Returns, but I shall attempt to contain my silliness.

1. GGPViper makes claim that Rational Choice has a relevant empirical content
2. JakobVirgil makes counter-claim that Rational Choice has no relevant empirical content
3. GGPViper refers to Elinor Ostrom as an example of relevant empirical content (Isolated, this *is* in fact an appeal to authority)
4. JakobVirgil makes claim that Ostrom is not a Rational Choice author and makes claim that GGPViper has not read Ostrom (valid attack against appeal to authority)
5. GGPViper refers to "Governing the Commons" as evidence of having read Ostrom and that she is a Rational Choice author (A specific work, and thus not an appeal to authority)
6. JakobVirgil makes claim that Ostrom is not a Rational Choice author and makes claim that GGPViper has not read Ostrom. (Note the similarity with number 4)
7. GGPViper refers to specific passages in "Governing the Commons" as evidence of having read Ostrom and that she is a Rational Choice author and that Rational choice has a relevant empirical content
8. JakobVirgil - now facing a losing battle - decides to abandon serious discussion and engage in incoherent rants instead.

JakobVirgil wrote:
The null hypothesis is that Rational choice theory does not predict anything.
until Empirical data shows that it does I am gunna stick with the idea that it is BS.
Same with homeopathy and astrology.

Even if they start to give fake Nobels in those too.


Look up (in my post, of course).


Pride is a killer isn't it?
I am sorry I was not reading your post closely as most of what I could see was tangential and
full of appeals to authority.

1) The tragedy of the commons is a weak example with a spate of counter examples.
(a lot of which are in the book you like to quote.)
2) The mathematical underpinnings of Game theory are faulty. Nash had a fiddly approach to the recursive problem in game theory.
3) The theory of human motivation and understanding of games held axiomatic in game theory
does not have a grounding in observed human behavior.
4) game theory does not have predictive ability Nash equalibriums are almost never met in real life interactions. including the hilarious case of the secretaries in the RAND building returning the result of cooperation as the most common strategy in the Prisoners Dilemma.
This was Nash's first and perhaps only escapade in experimental economics.

Game theory = bunk
rational choice is based on game theory and hence is bunk too.

funny thing is that game theory works really well for evolutionary biology.
just not for people. (this is cuz we ain't rational.)

So do you still win? :lol: .

Cool now do it for astrology.


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GGPViper
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24 Sep 2012, 3:26 pm

JakobVirgil wrote:
1) The tragedy of the commons is a weak example with a spate of counter examples.
(a lot of which are in the book you like to quote.)


If the Tragedy of the Commons does not occur because people are (1) too stupid to pursue their self-interest or (2) altruistic, then it is a challenge to Rational Choice.

If the Tragedy of the Commons does not occur because an institution is set into place which managed the self-interest of individuals (like Ostrom's self-organizing systems or Coase's privatization combined with cap and trade), then it is a strengthening of Rational Choice.

JakobVirgil wrote:
2) The mathematical underpinnings of Game theory are faulty. Nash had a fiddly approach to the recursive problem in game theory.
3) The theory of human motivation and understanding of games held axiomatic in game theory
does not have a grounding in observed human behavior.
4) game theory does not have predictive ability Nash equalibriums are almost never met in real life interactions. including the hilarious case of the secretaries in the RAND building returning the result of cooperation as the most common strategy in the Prisoners Dilemma.
This was Nash's first and perhaps only escapade in experimental economics.

Game theory = bunk
rational choice is based on game theory and hence is bunk too.


Ah, and now it all makes sense. I see that your rejection of rational choice is based on a very narrow assumption...

Mathematics = Game Theory = Rational Choice...

Thomas C. Schelling (most definitely a game theorist) rejected the former relation between mathematics and game theory in The Strategy of Conflict (Schelling 1960, 290). The latter makes even less sense; Nothing in Rational Choice demands that it needs to be within the confines of game theory. It is an actor theory, not a theory on what games the actors play...

JakobVirgil wrote:
funny thing is that game theory works really well for evolutionary biology.
just not for people. (this is cuz we ain't rational.)


I am relieved that I did not have to defend the work of Trivers as well.

Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.

JakobVirgil wrote:
So do you still win? :lol: .

Cool now do it for astrology.


Yes, I win.

However, I will leave astrology to you. It is not within my area of expertise...



TM
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24 Sep 2012, 3:54 pm

GGPViper wrote:

I am relieved that I did not have to defend the work of Trivers as well.

Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.


I suspect that part of the problem some people have with game theory when applied to human interactions is an inability to deal with different goals. Game theory when applied to evolutionary biology has a predetermined goal for every organism, "survive and reproduce" (overly simplified I know).

When its applied to a human interaction, its very easy to attribute certain behaviors by actors as "irrational" instead of to actors pursuing different goals.



JakobVirgil
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24 Sep 2012, 4:11 pm

GGPViper wrote:
Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.


Except for the part where it crap at actually predicting human behavior.
But you keep forgetting that part.

Yes a lot of people use it. (more use the bible another crap guide.)
Yes some highly acclaimed folks use it. (like the bible)
Yes governments use it to design policy (again the bible)

Any argument that does not address the efficacy of the use of Rational Choice as a predictive tool for human behavior will be sneered at.

It is a theory of human behavior that fails in its purpose predicting human behavior.
It deserves a place in the dustbin of history with bloodletting, Freudian analysis and I ching.

Congrats on your win. :lol:


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JakobVirgil
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24 Sep 2012, 4:17 pm

TM wrote:
GGPViper wrote:

I am relieved that I did not have to defend the work of Trivers as well.

Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.


I suspect that part of the problem some people have with game theory when applied to human interactions is an inability to deal with different goals. Game theory when applied to evolutionary biology has a predetermined goal for every organism, "survive and reproduce" (overly simplified I know).

When its applied to a human interaction, its very easy to attribute certain behaviors by actors as "irrational" instead of to actors pursuing different goals.


The heterogeneity of goals is a huge freaking problem in game theory.
Goals are always arbitrary and hence irrational.
Some folks just want to watch the world burn.
Some just wanna make nice.
Some are "rational" maximizers.
Some are minimizers.
some folks just want Jesus to love them.
Some folks like Johnny Nash did s**t because he has voices in his head.


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GGPViper
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25 Sep 2012, 2:01 pm

JakobVirgil wrote:
GGPViper wrote:
Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.


Except for the part where it is crap at actually predicting human behaviour.
But you keep forgetting that part.


You might want to pay more attention to your own posts, JakobVirgil. Could it be that you yourself have confessed support to the use of game theory in evolutionary biology specifically concerning humans... perhaps in another thread?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Dawkins is fine as a biologist (except for his seemingly faith driven disbelief in path dependency.* ) it is just when he puts on his social theorist hat that he is out of his depth.

* understand it is nuanced and he has backed down a bit.

The Sociopath as a cheater evolutionary strategy work well in my mind.
analogous to the unflanged males in Pongo.


5 cent question: Within which theoretical framework do you think the evolutionary cheater strategy is presented? And you even provided ammunition to my next argument with an analogy to similar behaviour in other Homininae (the Orangutan). Why does it make sense to differentiate between Homo Sapiens and other creatures at all? You might want to re-read Trivers...

My original psychopath reference was (Christopher J. Patrick (ed.) Handbook of Psychopathy, 2006: 563-565) by the way...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Yes a lot of people use it. (more use the bible another crap guide.)
Yes some highly acclaimed folks use it. (like the bible)
Yes governments use it to design policy (again the bible)


I'm not even going to bother to point out the logical fallacy of this argument...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Any argument that does not address the efficacy of the use of Rational Choice as a predictive tool for human behaviour will be sneered at.

It is a theory of human behavior that fails in its purpose predicting human behavior.
It deserves a place in the dustbin of history with bloodletting, Freudian analysis and I ching.


Then why do you sneer? Does some sort of galactic constant (back of, Q!) prevent my numerous references to Governing the Commons from being transmitted through the Internet?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Congrats on your win. :lol:


While your logic is lacking, your sportsmanship is admirable.



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25 Sep 2012, 2:55 pm

GGPViper wrote:
JakobVirgil wrote:
GGPViper wrote:
Unless you define "rational" as "not affected by physical laws" I however fail to see how assumptions about human rationality put as much as a single dent in the use of game theory in evolutionary biology.


Except for the part where it is crap at actually predicting human behaviour.
But you keep forgetting that part.


You might want to pay more attention to your own posts, JakobVirgil. Could it be that you yourself have confessed support to the use of game theory in evolutionary biology specifically concerning humans... perhaps in another thread?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Dawkins is fine as a biologist (except for his seemingly faith driven disbelief in path dependency.* ) it is just when he puts on his social theorist hat that he is out of his depth.

* understand it is nuanced and he has backed down a bit.

The Sociopath as a cheater evolutionary strategy work well in my mind.
analogous to the unflanged males in Pongo.


5 cent question: Within which theoretical framework do you think the evolutionary cheater strategy is presented? And you even provided ammunition to my next argument with an analogy to similar behaviour in other Homininae (the Orangutan). Why does it make sense to differentiate between Homo Sapiens and other creatures at all? You might want to re-read Trivers...

My original psychopath reference was (Christopher J. Patrick (ed.) Handbook of Psychopathy, 2006: 563-565) by the way...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Yes a lot of people use it. (more use the bible another crap guide.)
Yes some highly acclaimed folks use it. (like the bible)
Yes governments use it to design policy (again the bible)


I'm not even going to bother to point out the logical fallacy of this argument...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Any argument that does not address the efficacy of the use of Rational Choice as a predictive tool for human behaviour will be sneered at.

It is a theory of human behavior that fails in its purpose predicting human behavior.
It deserves a place in the dustbin of history with bloodletting, Freudian analysis and I ching.


Then why do you sneer? Does some sort of galactic constant (back of, Q!) prevent my numerous references to Governing the Commons from being transmitted through the Internet?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Congrats on your win. :lol:


While your logic is lacking, your sportsmanship is admirable.


Are you familiar with the fallacy fallacy?

Humans evolved in a way that makes us irrational.
Obligate child-rearing , Bad kin discernment, the cultural co-evolution of the brain.

Maybe cuz Governing the Commons is not in anyvway a proof of your point?

Show data supporting rational choice or shut up.


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GGPViper
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25 Sep 2012, 3:35 pm

JakobVirgil wrote:
Are you familiar with the fallacy fallacy?


Well played, at least (If referring to the argument from fallacy). Now - assuming that you are referring to my dismissal of the Rational Choice/Bible connection - all you have to do is to prove a logical connection between the two... Please excuse me while I *dont* hold my breath, as you have demonstrated little (if any) ability to lift the burden of proof in previous posts...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Humans evolved in a way that makes us irrational.
Obligate child-rearing , Bad kin discernment, the cultural co-evolution of the brain.


I believe the burden of proof is on you, now. Hamilton, Trivers, Dawkins and Wilson are all on my side. Who are on your side? Gould & Lewontin?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Maybe cuz Governing the Commons is not in anyway a proof of your point?

Show data supporting rational choice or shut up.


I understand that it must be difficult for you to admit that you have misread the central work of your advisor... But you are turning into the very epitome of the No True Scotsman fallacy. If I quoted Governing the Commons in its entirety in this thread - from front to back - while pointing out its obvious foundation upon Rational choice and its empirical relevance - you would probably still dismiss my argument...

You have lost, JakobVirgil. The fact that you cannot even reply to my specific points suggests that having your back against the wall is eating into you spine...



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25 Sep 2012, 3:44 pm

GGPViper wrote:
JakobVirgil wrote:
Are you familiar with the fallacy fallacy?


Well played, at least (If referring to the argument from fallacy). Now - assuming that you are referring to my dismissal of the Rational Choice/Bible connection - all you have to do is to prove a logical connection between the two... Please excuse me while I *dont* hold my breath, as you have demonstrated little (if any) ability to lift the burden of proof in previous posts...

JakobVirgil wrote:
Humans evolved in a way that makes us irrational.
Obligate child-rearing , Bad kin discernment, the cultural co-evolution of the brain.


I believe the burden of proof is on you, now. Hamilton, Trivers, Dawkins and Wilson are all on my side. Who are on your side? Gould & Lewontin?

JakobVirgil wrote:
Maybe cuz Governing the Commons is not in anyway a proof of your point?

Show data supporting rational choice or shut up.


I understand that it must be difficult for you to admit that you have misread the central work of your advisor... But you are turning into the very epitome of the No True Scotsman fallacy. If I quoted Governing the Commons in its entirety in this thread - from front to back - while pointing out its obvious foundation upon Rational choice and its empirical relevance - you would probably still dismiss my argument...

You have lost, JakobVirgil. The fact that you cannot even reply to my specific points suggests that having your back against the wall is eating into you spine...


Now you realize that stacking up experts is not really an arguement, right?
I could give a list of my own and we could play a game of who is the biggest moron for using the appeal to authority fallacy.
(so far you.)
You have not shown emperical or statistical evidence for rational choice you know this right?
You have been found lacking and to bring it back to the orginal point rational choice arguments against anarchist or egalitarian societies have no merit and ignore emperical data. There are scores of egalitarian societies (hunter-gatherers) on earth right now they have trouble competing with non equalitarian cultures but are quite stable on their own.

In fact arguably our species was egalitarian for most of its evolutionary life -we won't know for sure until my tardis is fixed- hence the Predisposition to fowl-up Nash's math.


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25 Sep 2012, 4:19 pm

JakobVirgil wrote:
Now you realize that stacking up experts is not really an arguement, right?
I could give a list of my own and we could play a game of who is the biggest moron for using the appeal to authority fallacy.
(so far you.)


If you could list your own experts, then why haven't you?

[Eager Expectation: I hope your opponent posts Pathologies of Rational Choice, Master. Self-defeating arguments are a beauty to behold]

By the way, I stack up references to actual peer-reviewed works. Are you implying that this is the *wrong* approach?

JakobVirgil wrote:
You have not shown emperical or statistical evidence for rational choice you know this right?


GGPViper wrote:
Burden of proof (other relevant authors are Gary Miller, Xavier Sala-I-Martin, Robert Barro, Ernst Fehr and Bruno Frey):
Ostrom, Elinor - Governing The Commons
North, Douglass & Weingast, Barry - Constitutions and Commitments: The evolution of institutional governing public choice in seventeenth-century England
North, Douglass - Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance
Weingast, Barry & Mark Moran - Bureaucratic Discretion or Congressional Control: Regulatory Policymaking by the FTC.


How quaint.

Let me add just two more (both statistical):

Robert Barro - Democracy and Growth
Xavier Sali-I-Martin - I Just Ran Four Million Regressions

The latter is mostly for the lulz, but you do display a remarkable ability to selectively disregard posts that do not confirm your world view, so what the hell...

GGPViper wrote:
You have been found lacking and to bring it back to the original point rational choice arguments against anarchist or egalitarian societies have no merit and ignore empirical data. There are scores of egalitarian societies (hunter-gatherers) on earth right now they have trouble competing with non egalitarian cultures but are quite stable on their own.

In fact arguably our species was egalitarian for most of its evolutionary life -we won't know for sure until my tardis is fixed- hence the Predisposition to fowl-up Nash's math.


If your best example of a functioning anarchist society is a hunter-gatherer society, then perhaps I have won this discussion long before it began. What a wonderful short lived experience in extreme poverty.

I make no claim to the contrary as to the historical social framework of humanity. This is also the central message of The Adapted Mind, although I have some reservations against its conclusions...

But the bottom line is: I have not been found lacking. Rational Choice does have merit and it is supported by empirical studies.

And once again, you have lost...



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25 Sep 2012, 5:34 pm

GGPViper wrote:
JakobVirgil wrote:
Now you realize that stacking up experts is not really an arguement, right?
I could give a list of my own and we could play a game of who is the biggest moron for using the appeal to authority fallacy.
(so far you.)


If you could list your own experts, then why haven't you?

[Eager Expectation: I hope your opponent posts Pathologies of Rational Choice, Master. Self-defeating arguments are a beauty to behold]

By the way, I stack up references to actual peer-reviewed works. Are you implying that this is the *wrong* approach?

JakobVirgil wrote:
You have not shown emperical or statistical evidence for rational choice you know this right?


GGPViper wrote:
Burden of proof (other relevant authors are Gary Miller, Xavier Sala-I-Martin, Robert Barro, Ernst Fehr and Bruno Frey):
Ostrom, Elinor - Governing The Commons
North, Douglass & Weingast, Barry - Constitutions and Commitments: The evolution of institutional governing public choice in seventeenth-century England
North, Douglass - Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance
Weingast, Barry & Mark Moran - Bureaucratic Discretion or Congressional Control: Regulatory Policymaking by the FTC.


How quaint.

Let me add just two more (both statistical):

Robert Barro - Democracy and Growth
Xavier Sali-I-Martin - I Just Ran Four Million Regressions

The latter is mostly for the lulz, but you do display a remarkable ability to selectively disregard posts that do not confirm your world view, so what the hell...

GGPViper wrote:
You have been found lacking and to bring it back to the original point rational choice arguments against anarchist or egalitarian societies have no merit and ignore empirical data. There are scores of egalitarian societies (hunter-gatherers) on earth right now they have trouble competing with non egalitarian cultures but are quite stable on their own.

In fact arguably our species was egalitarian for most of its evolutionary life -we won't know for sure until my tardis is fixed- hence the Predisposition to fowl-up Nash's math.


If your best example of a functioning anarchist society is a hunter-gatherer society, then perhaps I have won this discussion long before it began. What a wonderful short lived experience in extreme poverty.

I make no claim to the contrary as to the historical social framework of humanity. This is also the central message of The Adapted Mind, although I have some reservations against its conclusions...

But the bottom line is: I have not been found lacking. Rational Choice does have merit and it is supported by empirical studies.

And once again, you have lost...


Still you have not put up any data just listed papers (many of which are by folk who don't agree with you).

Post some data we will look at it.
So far you are playing experts agree with me without showing what they are even saying.
and congratulating your self on not understanding what appeal it authority means.
Still waiting for an argument that is actually an argument.
.
.
.
.
got one yet?
You have made a convincing arguments that a lot of people in academia believe this BS and not a one to back why.

A sample of the papers you use like magic wands shows me either you do not know what rational choice is or you just like to win arguments more than you like to tell the truth.

Robert Barro - Democracy and Growth - shows correlation between democracy and growth.
is Rational Choice democracy?

Xavier Sali-I-Martin - I Just Ran Four Million Regressions
is also not about rational choice but the correlates of economic growth.

Are you trying to baffle-me with BS? or have you just lost track of the topic of this conversation?

Post a paper or better the results page from a paper that shows rational choice predicting behavior.

the Sali-I-Martin is amazing I just wish it was about rational choice so you would not look foolish. :lol:


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26 Sep 2012, 2:36 am

GGPViper and TM are the same person

same style of writing and trolling

Why do you fail for it JacobVirgil?



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26 Sep 2012, 9:37 am

NoPast wrote:
GGPViper and TM are the same person

same style of writing and trolling

Why do you fail for it JacobVirgil?


:oops:


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26 Sep 2012, 9:46 am

Hope springs eternal - same by doltishness.

Rational choice says why bother even talking - eppur one does beyond hope.



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26 Sep 2012, 12:40 pm

JakobVirgil wrote:
Robert Barro - Democracy and Growth - shows correlation between democracy and growth.
is Rational Choice democracy?


JakobVirgil wrote:
Xavier Sali-I-Martin - I Just Ran Four Million Regressions
is also not about rational choice but the correlates of economic growth.


(Barro, 1994: 26):
"The more general conclusion is that the advanced Western countries would contribute more to the welfare of poor nations by exporting their economic systems, notably property rights and free markets, rather than their political systems, which typically developed after reasonable standards of living had been attained".

And even though I said it was for the lulz - See Sali-I-Martin (1996; 20; Table 1: Item 14 - Degree of Capitalism)

Once again (just as with Ostrom only being an institutional economist) your perspective is too narrow.

If rational choice predicts The tragedy of the Commons when CPR's are unregulated, and this in fact occurs, then it is proof of the merits of rational choice.

If the behavioural assumptions of neoclassical economics predict that free markets/capitalism and individual property rights will lead to high growth, and this in fact occurs, then it is a proof of the merits of the behavioural assumptions of neoclassical economics.

Rational choice = Behavioural assumptions of neoclassical economics. I believe I pointed this out in one of my first posts.

And Wiki agrees:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neoclassical_economics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_choice_theory

Competing explanations may be present in both cases, but once again - beware of Occam...

Initially, I stuck to only including evidence from the field of political science, but since you have long abandoned any ambition of providing rational arguments (yes, a pun was intended) I feel justified - as a counter-measure - to include the full range of predictions made by rational choice theory. I also no longer see a need to actually respond to the parts of your posts where you are simply throwing baseless accusations at me and not making any actual points.

As an addendum, I didn't just pick Barro and Xali-i-Martin because they use statistics, but because their particular work is relevant to this topic (before our little discussion derailed it, of course). Their work suggests that freedom might be useful for society (as measured by economic wealth), but only within the confines of market economies (which - while more free than many social systems - are *not* anarchies).

Summary, as a response to the post that started it all:

AtticusKane wrote:

Just wanted to see a good anarchy debate. People have been trying for hundreds of years, and I believe we're just on the edge of being able to try again, technologically and culturally speaking.

Now the question is, is it possible? Should we even try? Or would it just exponentially compound our problems, because humans can't reliably handle the responsibility of equality of freedom?


... Current research suggest that anarchy would just exponentially compound our problems, because humans can't reliably handle the responsibility of equality of freedom...



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Gender: Male
Posts: 5,880

26 Sep 2012, 1:06 pm

NoPast wrote:
GGPViper and TM are the same person

same style of writing and trolling

Why do you fail for it JacobVirgil?


I do not take kindly to such accusations, NoPast. See below.

alex wrote:
User accounts
--------------------
* Each user of WrongPlanet is only permitted to hold one user account unless given permission by the owner of WrongPlanet.net.
* Impersonating someone is not permitted.


http://www.wrongplanet.net/postt12459.html

I'll take the worst of what JakobVirgil can offer any day over someone that puts me at risk of being banned from WrongPlanet (and no, I *don't* care if you were just joking). Makes me wish I had an "Ignore" button...