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twoshots
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12 Mar 2009, 7:39 pm

iamnotaparakeet wrote:
twoshots wrote:
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So, in terms of population growth, there is little difference between the evolutionary model and what would be the case assuming the Bible's veracity?

I'm going to answer this one: yes, there's a difference. Human population estimates put the population as increasing quite substantially starting around 10,000 BC with the introduction of agriculture. By the year 4,000 BC, the world's population is estimated as around 20 fold the 10,000 BC picture.


So, around 4,350 BC, there would be about 400,000 humans rather than 8?

Well, just for the halibut I ran a quick cspline interpolation of the population figures given in wikipedia, and at 4350 there would have been on the order of 18.5 million people.


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Silvervarg
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16 Mar 2009, 3:37 pm

iamnotaparakeet wrote:
Kilroy wrote:
iamnotaparakeet wrote:
Kilroy wrote:
I know, I meant if you took all the numbers through out our 2 million year history as a species
if you took all the people and add them up-you'll get billions


If humans were present, in some form or other, without birth control for 2 million years, why haven't we surpassed the steady state of the Sigmoid curve for population growth?


god damnet re you like thick in the head or are you jut trying to annoy me

its simple statistics-do you understand statistics!?
if you take their names down-in a book-for everyone that was killed for a religious reason-there would be billions of names in that book
even in the last 2000 years-there would at least be a billion!


Fine, lets say a trillion were killed just for the sake of argument. Here is my question again:

If humans were present, in some form or other, without birth control for 2 million years, why haven't we surpassed the steady state of the Sigmoid curve for population growth?

And there where a "birth control": sickness, starvation, accidents, animals, wars, natural disasters, etc killed of a lot of people. They didn't live like we do, don't forget that.


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twoshots
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16 Mar 2009, 9:33 pm

He was asking a perfectly valid question which you did not address. Natural death and competition for resources are factored into the logistic growth model for population growth, which has as iamnotaparakeet said a sigmoid shape. Current population growth for the time being is more or less exponential, which would be seen in the early phases of the logistic growth model. This fact points to instead, as ruveyn pointed out, that the advent of the neolithic revolution and subsequent advances changed the picture in terms of resources, allowing for once again an exponential growth.


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Silvervarg
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18 Mar 2009, 5:42 am

twoshots wrote:
He was asking a perfectly valid question which you did not address. Natural death and competition for resources are factored into the logistic growth model for population growth, which has as iamnotaparakeet said a sigmoid shape. Current population growth for the time being is more or less exponential, which would be seen in the early phases of the logistic growth model. This fact points to instead, as ruveyn pointed out, that the advent of the neolithic revolution and subsequent advances changed the picture in terms of resources, allowing for once again an exponential growth.

I have no idea what you just said. Please remember that a lot of people here don't speak english as their first language.


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ruveyn
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18 Mar 2009, 7:04 am

The Bible is a book of stories and it is not nearly as good as Tolikien's -The Silmarillion-.

ruveyn



b9
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18 Mar 2009, 9:02 am

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What if the Bible was true


then it would almost stop a bullet.



twoshots
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18 Mar 2009, 10:48 am

Silvervarg wrote:
twoshots wrote:
He was asking a perfectly valid question which you did not address. Natural death and competition for resources are factored into the logistic growth model for population growth, which has as iamnotaparakeet said a sigmoid shape. Current population growth for the time being is more or less exponential, which would be seen in the early phases of the logistic growth model. This fact points to instead, as ruveyn pointed out, that the advent of the neolithic revolution and subsequent advances changed the picture in terms of resources, allowing for once again an exponential growth.

I have no idea what you just said. Please remember that a lot of people here don't speak english as their first language.

Summary: your point is irrelevant. After some amount of time, any population should stop growing exponentially.


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TallyMan
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20 Mar 2009, 4:38 pm

b9 wrote:
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What if the Bible was true


then it would almost stop a bullet.


No. If the bible was really true it would not need to dodge bullets.

(Matrix reference :P )


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DentArthurDent
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20 Mar 2009, 6:27 pm

If the bible is true then virtually all modern scientific understanding are wrong. Personally I will trust modern science over a collection of writings from people who were trying to make sense of their world using flawed logic.

BTW was searching for Gopher wood and I came across this on a YEC sight

Has the Garden of Eden ever been found?
Many Christians naively assume that the Garden of Eden was located near the modern Tigris and Euphrates rivers.

Shouldnt this read 'Many Christians naively assume the Garden of Eden existed.

Or more properly reduced to 'Many Christians naively assume' :lol:


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ruveyn
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20 Mar 2009, 7:42 pm

DentArthurDent wrote:
If the bible is true then virtually all modern scientific understanding are wrong. Personally I will trust modern science over a collection of writings from people who were trying to make sense of their world using flawed logic.



Scientific theories are corroberated by observation and measurement. It repeated and crosschecked observations contradicts the Bible then the Bible is wrong. According to the Bible the land mass of the world is flat and has four corners, like a blanket or a piece of paper. If you infer from the Bible in a literal way you must conclude that the earth is about 6000 years old, as did Bishop Usher. But tens of thousands of observations indicate the earth is billions of years old. Hence the Bible is wrong, in the factual sense. It is a book of stories. It is no more factual than Tolkien's -Silmarillion- which is better written than the Bible.

ruveyn



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20 Mar 2009, 8:31 pm

ruveyn wrote:
Scientific theories are corroberated by observation and measurement. It repeated and crosschecked observations contradicts the Bible then the Bible is wrong. According to the Bible the land mass of the world is flat and has four corners, like a blanket or a piece of paper. If you infer from the Bible in a literal way you must conclude that the earth is about 6000 years old, as did Bishop Usher. But tens of thousands of observations indicate the earth is billions of years old. Hence the Bible is wrong, in the factual sense. It is a book of stories. It is no more factual than Tolkien's -Silmarillion- which is better written than the Bible.

Where is slowmutant when we need him?


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DentArthurDent
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20 Mar 2009, 11:35 pm

greenblue wrote:
Where is slowmutant when we need him?


Good question, his last post was 22 Feb and Last visit 24 Feb. :?


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21 Mar 2009, 12:35 am

Ancalagon wrote:
Dussel wrote:
... than at the end is the bible nothing more than a collection of dubious books written by uneducated people.

Some of them were educated by the standards of the time (Luke was a doctor). If you want to consider the Bible 'nothing' or 'dubious', that's fine, but if you want to convince anyone else, you might consider providing evidence or logical arguments of some type.


To jump again in this thread:

How really was Luke?

We do not have outside the bible any historical prove in respect of the existence of such a person. If he really lived he had obviously not a clue how Roman Justice worked: "And they began to accuse him, saying, We have found this man subverting our nation. He opposes payment of taxes to Caesar and claims to be Christ, a king. So Pilate asked Jesus, Are you the king of the Jews? Yes, it is as you say, Jesus replied. 4 Then Pilate announced to the chief priests and the crowd, I find no basis for a charge against this man" (Luke, 23, 3/4). Someone he claim to be king in a Roman province and a Roman Prefect did not see this a sufficient for a sentence ... there were people crucified for lesser charges.

And some lines later Luke supposedly wrote "The centurion, seeing what had happened, praised God and said, Surely this was a righteous man." - praised god? Which one? The century was certainly not a monotheist. And why he shall praise god for executing a "righteous man"? And why he should dare to criticize the judgement of his boss in public?

It is quite clear that Luke had no clue about the working of the Roman state machinery. Quite amazing for well educated person, he supposed to be.



Dussel
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21 Mar 2009, 12:58 am

Kilroy wrote:
I know, I meant if you took all the numbers through out our 2 million year history as a species
if you took all the people and add them up-you'll get billions


I will not doubt that religion has a function in keeping societies of uneducated people together. Insofar the Spanish Inquisition, the religious settlement of Queen Elizabeth I or the state cults of antique Rome makes a lot of sense.

But we - at least my hope - passed this phase of human development. Our societies do not need any longer the glue of religion to keep running to impose a minimum discipline on people to uphold order.



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21 Mar 2009, 1:45 am

Dussel wrote:
Kilroy wrote:
I know, I meant if you took all the numbers through out our 2 million year history as a species
if you took all the people and add them up-you'll get billions


I will not doubt that religion has a function in keeping societies of uneducated people together. Insofar the Spanish Inquisition, the religious settlement of Queen Elizabeth I or the state cults of antique Rome makes a lot of sense.

But we - at least my hope - passed this phase of human development. Our societies do not need any longer the glue of religion to keep running to impose a minimum discipline on people to uphold order.

Sadly, no we haven't. We(/they) are still the same humans with the same needs, what I've learned from a lot of people is that they don't care who or what controls their lives as long as they aren't directly affected by it. Therefor they still need a belief system to keep them in line, otherwise they would end up in the "we-and-them" metality too easy, the truth is that we need more of those conecting systems so more people can relate to each others. I think that would decrease a lot of prejudicm.

twoshots wrote:
Silvervarg wrote:
twoshots wrote:
He was asking a perfectly valid question which you did not address. Natural death and competition for resources are factored into the logistic growth model for population growth, which has as iamnotaparakeet said a sigmoid shape. Current population growth for the time being is more or less exponential, which would be seen in the early phases of the logistic growth model. This fact points to instead, as ruveyn pointed out, that the advent of the neolithic revolution and subsequent advances changed the picture in terms of resources, allowing for once again an exponential growth.

I have no idea what you just said. Please remember that a lot of people here don't speak english as their first language.

Summary: your point is irrelevant. After some amount of time, any population should stop growing exponentially.

Ahh, now I understand, I missread a previous post. :)


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b9
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21 Mar 2009, 8:02 am

bibles are true. i have seen them and felt them with my own hands. they had the words "the bible" printed on their front cover. they were definitely bibles.
if bibles were fired at me from a cannon, i would be seriously injured no doubt. they have substance and moment and therefore reality.
bibles are as real as any other book of similar thickness when it comes to clout.