Political position shifting with self interest

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ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo
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18 Jun 2015, 4:30 pm

AspieUtah wrote:
Archives.gov wrote:
...I never submitted the whole system of my opinions to the creed of any party of men whatever in religion, in philosophy, in politics, or in anything else where I was capable of thinking for myself. Such an addiction is the last degradation of a free and moral agent...."

--Thomas Jefferson

Archives.gov: "From Thomas Jefferson to Francis Hopkinson, 13 March 1789"
http://founders.archives.gov/documents/ ... 14-02-0402

Exactly.



Thinking for himself allowed Jefferson to arrive at the conclusion he could keep slaves and that's immoral.



GoonSquad
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19 Jun 2015, 7:39 am

ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo wrote:
AspieUtah wrote:
Archives.gov wrote:
...I never submitted the whole system of my opinions to the creed of any party of men whatever in religion, in philosophy, in politics, or in anything else where I was capable of thinking for myself. Such an addiction is the last degradation of a free and moral agent...."

--Thomas Jefferson

Archives.gov: "From Thomas Jefferson to Francis Hopkinson, 13 March 1789"
http://founders.archives.gov/documents/ ... 14-02-0402

Exactly.



Thinking for himself allowed Jefferson to arrive at the conclusion he could keep slaves and that's immoral.


It also allowed him to violate and abandon all his notions about small/limited government when he made the Louisiana purchase...

But, I'll cut him a bit of slack on that one. Who can resist a great bargain?


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19 Jun 2015, 8:13 am

0_equals_true wrote:
GoonSquad wrote:
This is why a lot of poor whites reject the Democrats, which they associate with minorities/poverty/welfare, and vote Republican, which they associate with whites/economic success/independence.


Doesn't it largely depend where the poor whites are? Poor whites in cities tend to be be a bit more left wing. Also some areas are associated with the trade union movement.


Well, I'll grant you that southern poor whites tend to be more pro-republican. So, there's certainly a regional slant. But as a rule, poor whites everywhere tend to lean republican for the reasons I mentioned. Poor working class whites in MA gave Ted Kennedy's senate seat to a Republican when he died. Then, they turned around and gave the seat to Elizabeth Warren...

I'd say Brown won on personal/aspirational issues (lots of working class whites related to Brown and liked/wanted to be like him). And, I'd say Warren won on populist economic issues...

So, there's a case where you might say the voters switched allegiances based on self interest.

I'd say they voted for Brown based on (economic) hopes and voted for Warren based on (economic) fears...

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I think there is an element of tribalism, ad conditioning too. There is some peer pressure.

My main interest want more about how people vote when circumstances change, and comparing gradual change to abrupt change.

I am interested in those that change sides. Not swing voter but those who change allegiance.


I'm not sure that a lot of American voters really do what you describe... In the last election, voters overwhelmingly went GOP at a state a federal level. But, at the same time they voted for propositions like raising the minimum wage (I'm pretty sure that measure passed in every state that voted on it).

The irony is, most all those republicans they ALSO voted for were opposed to minimum wage increases.

I think people are a lot more willing to break on specific issues (when possible) but very reluctant to make a total break with their political tribe.

Americans are so marketed. We're defined by the beer and cola we drink, the music we listen to, the sports we watch (or don't) and the party we vote for.

Do you want to be a bud light drinkin', country music listenin', NASCAR watchin', republican votin', good ol' boy, or a micro-brew sipping, hip-hop listening, limp-wristed democrat?


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AspieUtah
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19 Jun 2015, 8:34 am

GoonSquad wrote:
...southern poor whites tend to be more pro-republican....

Before and during Reconstruction, the confederate states were dominated by the Democratic Party (and their pro-slavery laws) for generations ( http://www.history.com/topics/ku-klux-klan ). Because the party realized in the post-WWII years that supporting slavery was a loss for it, it reinvented itself overnight to play the reverse-racism card, instead.


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19 Jun 2015, 9:11 am

AspieUtah wrote:
GoonSquad wrote:
...southern poor whites tend to be more pro-republican....

Before and during Reconstruction, the confederate states were dominated by the Democratic Party (and their pro-slavery laws) for generations ( http://www.history.com/topics/ku-klux-klan ). Because the party realized in the post-WWII years that supporting slavery was a loss for it, it reinvented itself overnight to play the reverse-racism card, instead.

So... you're saying the Democrat's 'flip flop' on race/slavery was calculated to pander to the poorest, most politically marginalized 11% of the population?

interesting.
:D

How do you interpret the Nixon/Republican southern strategy?


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AspieUtah
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19 Jun 2015, 9:15 am

GoonSquad wrote:
AspieUtah wrote:
GoonSquad wrote:
...southern poor whites tend to be more pro-republican....

Before and during Reconstruction, the confederate states were dominated by the Democratic Party (and their pro-slavery laws) for generations ( http://www.history.com/topics/ku-klux-klan ). Because the party realized in the post-WWII years that supporting slavery was a loss for it, it reinvented itself overnight to play the reverse-racism card, instead.

So... you're saying the Democrat's 'flip flop' on race/slavery was calculated to pander to the poorest, most politically marginalized 11% of the population?

interesting.
:D

How do you interpret the Nixon/Republican southern strategy?

Only that the party shifted its understanding of populist politics to differing groups. All political parties do this as group influences wax and wane, but, in this particular case, it was quite obvious.


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20 Jun 2015, 6:38 am

AspieUtah wrote:
Only that the party shifted its understanding of populist politics to differing groups. All political parties do this as group influences wax and wane, but, in this particular case, it was quite obvious.


Yeah, that's fair and it's the reason why American politics is so tribal on both sides.


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AspieUtah
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20 Jun 2015, 7:52 am

GoonSquad wrote:
AspieUtah wrote:
Only that the party shifted its understanding of populist politics to differing groups. All political parties do this as group influences wax and wane, but, in this particular case, it was quite obvious.

Yeah, that's fair and it's the reason why American politics is so tribal on both sides.

Years ago, I took the brass ring from my nose and thought for myself. "Tribal" doesn't describe it by half. It is actually "plantational."


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24 Jun 2015, 11:30 pm

even if I was a millionaire, it is my considered opinion that the GOP would be doing me no favors.