naturalplastic wrote:
Nades wrote:
naturalplastic wrote:
So the "One Child Policy" of not too long ago was TOO successful.
And now they want to undo it?
Yes. Japan is going the same way. Low birth rates cause a lot of problems once everyone begins to retire at the same time.
Yes. The far eastern countries love to do their top-down social engineering. Singapore also...goes back and forth...encouraging late marriages and few babies one decade, and then the next does an about face and encourages young folks to marry young and to crank out more babies.
But it also a lesson to everyone how there is no free lunch. Growing populations create problems, and static, and shrinking populations also create problems. Either way there are tradeoffs.
Yes, and once growth gets out of control the way that it did in the PRC, it's tough to get it back under control without serious risks.
In retrospect, they should have made it a 2 child policy, as you need somewhere a bit north of 2 just to maintain your population. You never get 100% of people in marriages or other unions where they have one kid per person, so a bit north of that is required for population replacement.
That being said, even without a formal policy as the prosperity of the typical Chinese citizen has increased, the pressure and benefits of having more children has diminished.
The situation is probably not nearly as dire as it seems, as there were a number of births over the last few decades that were kept off the books by local governments that didn't want to be responsible for angry parents of children that weren't authorized.