The 'right' to have children and overpopulation

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Do you support a 2 child policy for everyone?
Yes, as long as its voluntary 16%  16%  [ 6 ]
Yes, and it should be strictly enforced to prevent environmental catastrophy 13%  13%  [ 5 ]
No, people should be free to make their own reproductive choices 32%  32%  [ 12 ]
No, people who are responsible and can afford it should be free to have as many kids as they wish. Irresponsible people should not be allowed to have children (with 'rights' come responsibilities) 24%  24%  [ 9 ]
Two children is too many - a one child policy should be imposed, and more rewards for the childless 16%  16%  [ 6 ]
Total votes : 38

merrymadscientist
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19 Apr 2009, 3:02 pm

Interesting that all 5 poll options are pretty much equal at the moment.

The fact that you are a third child Orwell, should have nothing to do with your opinion. I'm not planning that you should be exterminated (together with my sister and several cousins and friends). The awareness of a population problem has come relatively recently (to popular consciousness at least).

I understand and almost sympathise with the libertarian point of view, that any intervention by the government is a loss of personal freedom. However, when the alternative will be mass starvation, wars for resources and environmental degradation that may result in the earth becoming much less inhabitable, can this position really be defendable from a moral point of view? Must we really just accept that humans are selfish and stupid and won't self-regulate and so their self-destruction will be inevitable because freedom is more important than quality of life (or even life itself)?



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19 Apr 2009, 3:05 pm

Interesting that all 5 poll options are pretty much equal at the moment.

The fact that you are a third child Orwell, should have nothing to do with your opinion. I'm not planning that you should be exterminated (together with my sister and several cousins and friends). The awareness of a population problem has come relatively recently (to popular consciousness at least).

I understand and almost sympathise with the libertarian point of view, that any intervention by the government is a loss of personal freedom. However, when the alternative will be mass starvation, wars for resources and environmental degradation that may result in the earth becoming much less inhabitable, can this position really be defendable from a moral point of view? Must we really just accept that humans are selfish and stupid and won't self-regulate and so their self-destruction will be inevitable because freedom is more important than quality of life (or even life itself)?



merrymadscientist
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19 Apr 2009, 3:07 pm

Interesting that all 5 poll options are pretty much equal at the moment.

The fact that you are a third child Orwell, should have nothing to do with your opinion. I'm not planning that you should be exterminated (together with my sister and several cousins and friends). The awareness of a population problem has come relatively recently (to popular consciousness at least).

I understand and almost sympathise with the libertarian point of view, that any intervention by the government is a loss of personal freedom. However, when the alternative will be mass starvation, wars for resources and environmental degradation that may result in the earth becoming much less inhabitable, can this position really be defendable from a moral point of view? Must we really just accept that humans are selfish and stupid and won't self-regulate and so their self-destruction will be inevitable because freedom is more important than quality of life (or even life itself)?



merrymadscientist
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19 Apr 2009, 3:08 pm

Interesting that all 5 poll options are pretty much equal at the moment.

The fact that you are a third child Orwell, should have nothing to do with your opinion. I'm not planning that you should be exterminated (together with my sister and several cousins and friends). The awareness of a population problem has come relatively recently (to popular consciousness at least).

I understand and almost sympathise with the libertarian point of view, that any intervention by the government is a loss of personal freedom. However, when the alternative will be mass starvation, wars for resources and environmental degradation that may result in the earth becoming much less inhabitable, can this position really be defendable from a moral point of view? Must we really just accept that humans are selfish and stupid and won't self-regulate and so their self-destruction will be inevitable because freedom is more important than quality of life (or even life itself)?



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19 Apr 2009, 3:23 pm

merrymadscientist wrote:
The awareness of a population problem has come relatively recently (to popular consciousness at least).

I maintain that, to the extent a population problem exists, normal societal development will resolve the problem without any need for oppressive government interference. The West is already reproducing below the replacement rate, so there is no need to consider such legislation even if it were possible to morally condone such restrictions.

Quote:
However, when the alternative will be mass starvation, wars for resources and environmental degradation that may result in the earth becoming much less inhabitable, can this position really be defendable from a moral point of view?

The problem is that you are presenting a false alternative. Malthusian thought is just wrong, and has been demonstrated to be such repeatedly throughout history.

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Must we really just accept that humans are selfish and stupid and won't self-regulate and so their self-destruction will be inevitable because freedom is more important than quality of life (or even life itself)?

No, because humans selfishness and freedom will not lead to destruction.


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merrymadscientist
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19 Apr 2009, 3:28 pm

Orwell wrote:
No, because humans selfishness and freedom will not lead to destruction.


Well, I'm glad that we're not all pessimists> :)

However, pessimism is generally more likely to be true than optimism unfortunately. You are free to ridicule me and say 'told you so' in 50 years, when things are better than ever and technology has triumphed over environmental disaster.



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19 Apr 2009, 3:43 pm

merrymadscientist wrote:
You are free to ridicule me and say 'told you so' in 50 years, when things are better than ever and technology has triumphed over environmental disaster.

I'll do better than bragging rights– I'll bet you hard money that 50 years from now, food will be cheaper (inflation-adjusted, obviously) fewer people will suffer from extreme poverty, and more people will have access to education, medical care, and other necessities. Disease will be less of a problem than it is today, and violence (as measured by both military conflict and violent crime rates) will be down, or at worst roughly comparable to today.

Any takers?

(Hint: observing the past is often the best guide to predicting the future)


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19 Apr 2009, 3:53 pm

[quote=Orwell]The problem is that you are presenting a false alternative. Malthusian thought is just wrong, and has been demonstrated to be such repeatedly throughout history.[/quote]

There is nothing wrong with Malthusian thought except his assumption of a very limited capability for land to produce food. Agricultural science has increased that capability tremendously but even that increase is not capable of supporting an infinite increase in population. Eventually, no matter how much science can increase agricultural output the limits of Malthus will re-appear. The ultimate limit will be the total conversion of the energy from the sun into food and that may be large but it is not infinite. Your faith in science is commendable but it is no more valid than a religious faith. If you believe in miracles you should immediately set about some practical method for invoking them.



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19 Apr 2009, 3:56 pm

I'm not saying there's no limit to population, Sand. There obviously is. But, the world population is beginning to level off, and we are probably still below carrying capacity. Especially in wealthier countries, any population growth at all is almost solely due to immigration. I'm not predicting infinite population growth, just dismissing the idea that humans are likely to continue exponential growth to be well over the carrying capacity.


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19 Apr 2009, 10:50 pm

Orwell wrote:
I'm not saying there's no limit to population, Sand. There obviously is. But, the world population is beginning to level off, and we are probably still below carrying capacity. Especially in wealthier countries, any population growth at all is almost solely due to immigration. I'm not predicting infinite population growth, just dismissing the idea that humans are likely to continue exponential growth to be well over the carrying capacity.


There are various factors in food production that can and are causing major problems. The fight over potable water is one of the prime difficulties. Already it is one of the major elements in both California and Israel causing dangerous trouble is control of water. And the runoff of unused fertilizer into the sea is causing real problems with fish supplies which is already under considerable strain from over fishing. To not see that we are approaching limits is to not understand oncoming troubles.



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19 Apr 2009, 11:15 pm

Sand wrote:
There are various factors in food production that can and are causing major problems. The fight over potable water is one of the prime difficulties. Already it is one of the major elements in both California and Israel causing dangerous trouble is control of water. And the runoff of unused fertilizer into the sea is causing real problems with fish supplies which is already under considerable strain from over fishing. To not see that we are approaching limits is to not understand oncoming troubles.

True. Habits and attitudes will have to change at some point. We can manage existing resources far better than we currently do. Fertilizer runoff in particular should not be occurring to the extent it does now.


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19 Apr 2009, 11:37 pm

Orwell wrote:
Sand wrote:
There are various factors in food production that can and are causing major problems. The fight over potable water is one of the prime difficulties. Already it is one of the major elements in both California and Israel causing dangerous trouble is control of water. And the runoff of unused fertilizer into the sea is causing real problems with fish supplies which is already under considerable strain from over fishing. To not see that we are approaching limits is to not understand oncoming troubles.

True. Habits and attitudes will have to change at some point. We can manage existing resources far better than we currently do. Fertilizer runoff in particular should not be occurring to the extent it does now.


Insofar as habit change is concerned, humanity seems to have the Hermann Goering instinct: " When I hear about habit change I reach for my gun".



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20 Apr 2009, 12:01 am

What is disconcerting for an observer who judges human mental agility as being supreme is the nexus of severe problems and real solutions that might, at least for the near future, push Malthus away for the next few generations. To speak of a lack of water on a planet that is covered for about two thirds of its area with water is quite strange. The obstacle that it is salty and not suitable for current food crops does not take into account that nature has already solved many of those problems with seaweed which humans have paid little attention to for food crops. Genetic engineering could probably do a great deal in that area. And if those consumable seaweeds could be induced to flourish on the now polluting fertilizer runoff it would be a successful change to benefit everybody. There is great concern that atmospheric CO2 is acidifying the oceans and causing oxygen depletion that is killing fish. Ocean crops which turn CO2 into edible products could help greatly in this direction. So far I have heard of no groups that are looking at the problems in this direction. It's worthwhile investigating instead of harebrained schemes to run off to the highly hostile and uninhabitable planets.



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20 Apr 2009, 10:10 am

Sand wrote:
What is disconcerting for an observer who judges human mental agility as being supreme is the nexus of severe problems and real solutions that might, at least for the near future, push Malthus away for the next few generations. To speak of a lack of water on a planet that is covered for about two thirds of its area with water is quite strange. The obstacle that it is salty and not suitable for current food crops does not take into account that nature has already solved many of those problems with seaweed which humans have paid little attention to for food crops. Genetic engineering could probably do a great deal in that area. And if those consumable seaweeds could be induced to flourish on the now polluting fertilizer runoff it would be a successful change to benefit everybody. There is great concern that atmospheric CO2 is acidifying the oceans and causing oxygen depletion that is killing fish. Ocean crops which turn CO2 into edible products could help greatly in this direction. So far I have heard of no groups that are looking at the problems in this direction. It's worthwhile investigating instead of harebrained schemes to run off to the highly hostile and uninhabitable planets.


Amen. First let us see if we can terraform Earth, before worrying about terraforming Mars. Mars is a last resort lifeboat if some unfortunate event would render Earth unlivable, such as a gigantic asteroid collision which would wipe out the flora and fauna. In any case Mars could only be used to save a small portion of the human race from destruction.

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20 Apr 2009, 10:41 am

Another possibility that has not been considered in ridding the atmosphere of its burgeoning CO2 is the use of photosynthetic airborne bacteria. The skies of Earth are filled with water in the form of vapor and clouds and all that is needed to join this water to the excess of CO2 is the energy of sunlight and a self reproducing organic bacteria that will remain airborne until it sinks to the ground of its weight to fertilize the plants on the ground. It is known that bacteria do fill the skies but not that they are photosynthetic. It should be a solvable problem and prove unnecessary the bulky clumsy expensive machinery now contemplated to reduce CO2. Again genetic engineering could come to the rescue.



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20 Apr 2009, 10:47 am

not only should people not even be allowed to get ONE kid anymore, but...

just VOTE FOR ME for global president, thats all im saying.

hah

muhah...

MOHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!! !!


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