Conservatives insist the rest of us live by their rules
The notion that a period of glaciation is an ice age may be popular among non-scientific people, but not among real scientists. The reality is that ice ages tend to last millions of years. If this one were to end now, it would be the shortest major ice age that we know of. For all we know, it might easily last for tens of millions of years.
In comparison, the longest ice age we know of lasted about 300 million years. I think the shortest known major ice age was something like 40 million years in duration.
Not a peer reviewed paper, but a brief introduction to ice ages, read http://geology.utah.gov/map-pub/survey-notes/glad-you-asked/ice-ages-what-are-they-and-what-causes-them/:
At least five major ice ages have occurred throughout Earth’s history: the earliest was over 2 billion years ago, and the most recent one began approximately 3 million years ago and continues today (yes, we live in an ice age!).
Currently, we are in a warm interglacial that began about 11,000 years ago. The last period of glaciation, which is often informally called the “Ice Age,” peaked about 20,000 years ago. At that time, the world was on average probably about 10°F (5°C) colder than today, and locally as much as 40°F (22°C) colder.
Note the word "informally". A period of glaciation is no more an ice age than was the geologically very recent period known as the "Little Ice Age".
Sweetleaf
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It's probably not very bad for many other forms of life.
I don't need to ask where you get these ideas -- they are all over the place.
Whether or not the claim that it is bad for us is true remains to be seen. If you look back about eight to ten thousand years ago, the climate was much warmer than today. Was it a disaster? Not hardly. That is when mankind was finally able to begin to take its first steps toward civilization. It seems obvious to me that any global warming that we are likely to see are far more likely to be quite beneficial overall.
The real disaster would be cooling. If you want to see people starving to death around you, cool the planet off.
We have been in an ice age for something like 2.6 million years. The part of this ice age that we are currently in is an interglacial warm period known as the Holocene. If the last interglacial warm period is anything to go by, it is very possible that we are nearing the end of this one. With luck, we may have as much as one to two thousand years before everything goes to hell, but it could happen sooner.
When the next glaciation begins, you can bet that famine will become common and that death by starvation will be a major problem throughout the world. A warm planet is generally quite productive -- a planet cooling down as it enters a new period of glaciation will not be very productive at all. Just look at the hardships created by the period known as "The Little Ice Age" for a small hint of what is in store for our descendants.
If the Global Warming can postpone the onset of the next glaciation, then that is the best thing that can happen for mankind.
Any swing will require a great deal of adaptation on our part.
Also please provide a peer-reviewed citation for the assertion that we are in an ice age.
The Ice age is coming, we are not quite in it yet.
_________________
We won't go back.
It's probably not very bad for many other forms of life.
I don't need to ask where you get these ideas -- they are all over the place.
Whether or not the claim that it is bad for us is true remains to be seen. If you look back about eight to ten thousand years ago, the climate was much warmer than today. Was it a disaster? Not hardly. That is when mankind was finally able to begin to take its first steps toward civilization. It seems obvious to me that any global warming that we are likely to see are far more likely to be quite beneficial overall.
The real disaster would be cooling. If you want to see people starving to death around you, cool the planet off.
We have been in an ice age for something like 2.6 million years. The part of this ice age that we are currently in is an interglacial warm period known as the Holocene. If the last interglacial warm period is anything to go by, it is very possible that we are nearing the end of this one. With luck, we may have as much as one to two thousand years before everything goes to hell, but it could happen sooner.
When the next glaciation begins, you can bet that famine will become common and that death by starvation will be a major problem throughout the world. A warm planet is generally quite productive -- a planet cooling down as it enters a new period of glaciation will not be very productive at all. Just look at the hardships created by the period known as "The Little Ice Age" for a small hint of what is in store for our descendants.
If the Global Warming can postpone the onset of the next glaciation, then that is the best thing that can happen for mankind.
Any swing will require a great deal of adaptation on our part.
Also please provide a peer-reviewed citation for the assertion that we are in an ice age.
The Ice age is coming, we are not quite in it yet.
We are in it. This ice age began something like 2.6 million years ago.
What will surely come, unless this ice age should miraculously end, is another period of glaciation. A period of glaciation is not an ice age.
Sweetleaf
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Joined: 6 Jan 2011
Age: 35
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Except it is. Taxation is taking money from people who earned it, ultimately by threat of force.
No amount of denial or yelling will change the fact that robbery is robbery, no matter if committed by a street thug or by a huge mafia calling itself a government.
It's quite telling that you feel the need, even through this medium, to symbolically raise your voice above mine, implying it should be the only one heard, for no other reason than that you decide so, and suggesting some kind of threat if I don't back off, all without providing a single rational argument to back up your denial or addressing mine.
Whoever freely chooses to do so, not a single person more or less. It's their problem, not anybody else's. Nobody else needs to care, so nobody has any business forcing them to.
My feelings have no bearing on this matter. People have a right to feel however they do. They might as well feel relieved by the good riddance of members of society who weren't pulling their own weight and have finally stopped being a burden to everyone else.
Stealing is always stealing and your needs don't entitle you to anything that isn't yours. Everybody is responsible for defending their property against any attacker, no matter what the latter's motives are. The only reason it may be advisable to care at all about the circumstances leading your assailant to attack you is to use them to your advantage to improve your defense.
Based on your 'morals' you think its robbery, but no it is not legally defined as so...and as I said before unless you got a better idea than taxation to fund the things taxes fund...it really does seem pretty mindless to b*tch, and b*tch and b*tch about the existence of taxation and blame the poor for 'stealing' your money...when its more like if you want to live in a society with an infrastructure there is going to be some required amount of contribution required of all citizens...if you don't want to be a citizen don't. But otherwise b*tching and complaining about people simply getting on programs they 'qualify' for just makes you look like an a** not a justice fighter saint which is probably more what you are going for I assume. And yes by legal standards and definitions people who qualify for welfare programs are entitled to that help and/or money provided by said programs actually regardless of your personal opinion that someone like me ought to be on the streets with no income whatsover because it's 'unfair' for taxes to go to such programs...I wonder if taxes in no way went to public services or the poor and disabled would you then be ok with them? I suppose I mean is it that a percentage of the taxes go to impoverished people that makes you define it as stealing and think taxes should be eliminated? Or are you also pissed at general social services like the fire department who will come put a fire out if your house starts burning down and things like that?
_________________
We won't go back.
Last edited by Sweetleaf on 09 Jul 2015, 2:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
Sweetleaf
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Joined: 6 Jan 2011
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Well hell even a few years back I read up on some articles that talked about how arctic/nothren Ice is melting...like scandinavians who have fished on these waters in the winter(ice fishing) have noticed a significant decline in Ice, thus effecting their ability to Ice fish...this was like 5 years ago, I only can imagine it more noticeable now. So to deny there are changes happening is idiotic....yes Ice is melting, it could partially be caused by human contribution, lets all cry about it instead of attempting to find 'solutions' for the human contributions.
_________________
We won't go back.
Well hell even a few years back I read up on some articles that talked about how arctic/nothren Ice is melting...like scandinavians who have fished on these waters in the winter(ice fishing) have noticed a significant decline in Ice, thus effecting their ability to Ice fish...this was like 5 years ago, I only can imagine it more noticeable now. So to deny there are changes happening is idiotic....yes Ice is melting, it could partially be caused by human contribution, lets all cry about it instead of attempting to find 'solutions' for the human contributions.
Note that Lintar mentioned the Antarctic, not the Arctic.
In any event, I think it more important that we do the research to find out whether we need to try to do anything about human contributions to Global Warming instead of going into a panic based on imagination. Even if we do turn out to actually have a reason to need to reduce our contributions, trying to do something without understanding the problems is likely to be very expensive and have very poor results.
It is quite possible that the best thing we could do to cut our contribution to warming is to pollute more -- to introduce more highly reflective pollution high in the atmosphere that will reflect more incoming sunlight back into space.
Another thing that would help would be to start building more and more nuclear power plants all over the globe.
What do you think about creating pollution intentionally and building many nuclear power plants?
Sweetleaf
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Joined: 6 Jan 2011
Age: 35
Gender: Female
Posts: 34,971
Location: Somewhere in Colorado
It's probably not very bad for many other forms of life.
I don't need to ask where you get these ideas -- they are all over the place.
Whether or not the claim that it is bad for us is true remains to be seen. If you look back about eight to ten thousand years ago, the climate was much warmer than today. Was it a disaster? Not hardly. That is when mankind was finally able to begin to take its first steps toward civilization. It seems obvious to me that any global warming that we are likely to see are far more likely to be quite beneficial overall.
The real disaster would be cooling. If you want to see people starving to death around you, cool the planet off.
We have been in an ice age for something like 2.6 million years. The part of this ice age that we are currently in is an interglacial warm period known as the Holocene. If the last interglacial warm period is anything to go by, it is very possible that we are nearing the end of this one. With luck, we may have as much as one to two thousand years before everything goes to hell, but it could happen sooner.
When the next glaciation begins, you can bet that famine will become common and that death by starvation will be a major problem throughout the world. A warm planet is generally quite productive -- a planet cooling down as it enters a new period of glaciation will not be very productive at all. Just look at the hardships created by the period known as "The Little Ice Age" for a small hint of what is in store for our descendants.
If the Global Warming can postpone the onset of the next glaciation, then that is the best thing that can happen for mankind.
Any swing will require a great deal of adaptation on our part.
Also please provide a peer-reviewed citation for the assertion that we are in an ice age.
The Ice age is coming, we are not quite in it yet.
We are in it. This ice age began something like 2.6 million years ago.
What will surely come, unless this ice age should miraculously end, is another period of glaciation. A period of glaciation is not an ice age.
In that case, where is all the Ice...I mean I suppose I have a hard time with the correlation of glaciers and northern Ice melting at a quicker rate than ever, and an Ice age and global warming all at the same time. But perhaps you know something I do not.
_________________
We won't go back.
Sweetleaf
Veteran
Joined: 6 Jan 2011
Age: 35
Gender: Female
Posts: 34,971
Location: Somewhere in Colorado
Note that Lintar mentioned the Antarctic, not the Arctic.
In any event, I think it more important that we do the research to find out whether we need to try to do anything about human contributions to Global Warming instead of going into a panic based on imagination. Even if we do turn out to actually have a reason to need to reduce our contributions, trying to do something without understanding the problems is likely to be very expensive and have very poor results.
It is quite possible that the best thing we could do to cut our contribution to warming is to pollute more -- to introduce more highly reflective pollution high in the atmosphere that will reflect more incoming sunlight back into space.
Another thing that would help would be to start building more and more nuclear power plants all over the globe.
What do you think about creating pollution intentionally and building many nuclear power plants?
And starting at the third paragraph gives a good impression of why humans so easily f*** themselves and their surroundings over. The best thing we can do is pollute more and create more nuclear radiation brilliant and do anything else we can to increase our negative imprint on the earth. absolutely brilliant I say, absolutely brilliant
_________________
We won't go back.
The West Coast is baking. Drought is becoming Super Drought.
The cause, The Ocean is warmer, it forms high pressure above, which blocks storms from bringing clouds and rain.
El Nino, La Nina, this has been going on for a while. The Incas had to put up with it.
The drought that took down the Maya, the Anasazi, and the reason there were so few Native Americans in California, started getting bad around 750 AD. It continued till 1550 AD. It was hot, dry, and before industrial anything.
During the same time, the Black Sea and the Nile froze over in 705, only record of that happening, Vikings came south before 900, and the Little Ice Age put year round ice on the northern coast of Scotland from 1100 to 1300.
Hot and dry here, cold and wet there, before industrial, points to changes in Ocean Currents having major climate effects. Two large areas left records, we can expect there were other changes.
This speculation that the Air could cause Global Warming, Climate Change is just speculation.
There is a lot more Ocean, it is proven to cause major changes, and there is nothing we can do about it.
It's probably not very bad for many other forms of life.
I don't need to ask where you get these ideas -- they are all over the place.
Whether or not the claim that it is bad for us is true remains to be seen. If you look back about eight to ten thousand years ago, the climate was much warmer than today. Was it a disaster? Not hardly. That is when mankind was finally able to begin to take its first steps toward civilization. It seems obvious to me that any global warming that we are likely to see are far more likely to be quite beneficial overall.
The real disaster would be cooling. If you want to see people starving to death around you, cool the planet off.
We have been in an ice age for something like 2.6 million years. The part of this ice age that we are currently in is an interglacial warm period known as the Holocene. If the last interglacial warm period is anything to go by, it is very possible that we are nearing the end of this one. With luck, we may have as much as one to two thousand years before everything goes to hell, but it could happen sooner.
When the next glaciation begins, you can bet that famine will become common and that death by starvation will be a major problem throughout the world. A warm planet is generally quite productive -- a planet cooling down as it enters a new period of glaciation will not be very productive at all. Just look at the hardships created by the period known as "The Little Ice Age" for a small hint of what is in store for our descendants.
If the Global Warming can postpone the onset of the next glaciation, then that is the best thing that can happen for mankind.
Any swing will require a great deal of adaptation on our part.
Also please provide a peer-reviewed citation for the assertion that we are in an ice age.
The Ice age is coming, we are not quite in it yet.
We are in it. This ice age began something like 2.6 million years ago.
What will surely come, unless this ice age should miraculously end, is another period of glaciation. A period of glaciation is not an ice age.
In that case, where is all the Ice...I mean I suppose I have a hard time with the correlation of glaciers and northern Ice melting at a quicker rate than ever, and an Ice age and global warming all at the same time. But perhaps you know something I do not.
At the current rate of warming, the ice cap on Greenland is expected to take nearly 20,000 years to melt. Antarctica, substantially longer. With more warming, it will be faster, but we're still talking thousands of years.
The fossil fuels will be pretty much gone long before then. There is talk of Peak Oil and Peak Coal. The projections I saw a couple of years ago from the coal industry could see us reach Peak coal in something like the next ten to fifty years depending on whose estimate you want. In the meantime our industrial plants, particularly power plants, are scrubbing more and more CO2 from their emissions.
The future is electric. Predominantly nuclear, but some solar and wind power as well as they become more and more viable and competitive.
I really don't expect CO2 emissions to be a big problem in 200 years even if we don't improve our technology. There will still be plenty of CO2 already in the atmosphere, but over time that will be reduced.
In the meantime, while there is disagreement over the precise causes of ice ages, much of it seems likely to be due to very slow processes such as continental drift and large scale changes to the land masses and the oceans. I can't imagine that such long-term things are going to change fast enough for us to get out of this ice age within the next million years.
Within the ice age, glaciations appear likely to be the result of changes in the orbit including how elliptical it is as well as the tilt of the axis. These are cyclical and much shorter term than the cause of the ice age itself, but they do seem to explain the presence of periods of glaciation separated by interglacial warm periods.
As much as I would like it, Global Warming is not going to be sufficient to bring us out of this ice age. At best, it may delay entry into the next period of glaciation enough for us to be better prepared and more advanced so that just maybe we might have a chance to forestall the famines and starvation that would surely accompany the cooling.
We need research, not Chicken Little style "the sky is falling" panic.
Do you really believe that scientists publish peer-reviewed papers defining the terms they use or establishing the most basic facts? That would be kind of like publishing a paper establishing that the sun shines in the day time or a paper establishing the definition of thermocline.
Do you really believe that scientists publish peer-reviewed papers defining the terms they use or establishing the most basic facts? That would be kind of like publishing a paper establishing that the sun shines in the day time or a paper establishing the definition of thermocline.
How about a link to an article in a reputable scientific periodical that references this "fact"?
Do you really believe that scientists publish peer-reviewed papers defining the terms they use or establishing the most basic facts? That would be kind of like publishing a paper establishing that the sun shines in the day time or a paper establishing the definition of thermocline.
How about a link to an article in a reputable scientific periodical that references this "fact"?
Kirsty E. H. Penkman, Richard C. Preece, David R. Bridgland, David H. Keen, Tom Meijer, Simon A. Parfitt, Tom S. White & Matthew J. Collins, A chronological framework for the British Quaternary based on Bithynia opercula, Nature 476, 446–449 (25 August 2011):
For what it's worth, there are a number of journals dedicated to this ice age and the period encompassing it. For example, Quaternary Research, Open Quaternary, Journal of Quaternary Science, and Quaternary Science Reviews.
Kirsty E. H. Penkman, Richard C. Preece, David R. Bridgland, David H. Keen, Tom Meijer, Simon A. Parfitt, Tom S. White & Matthew J. Collins, A chronological framework for the British Quaternary based on Bithynia opercula, Nature 476, 446–449 (25 August 2011):
For what it's worth, there are a number of journals dedicated to this ice age and the period encompassing it. For example, Quaternary Research, Open Quaternary, Journal of Quaternary Science, and Quaternary Science Reviews.
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