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abstrusemortal
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26 May 2008, 4:50 pm

skafather84 wrote:
Orwell wrote:
twoshots wrote:
Orwell wrote:
twoshots wrote:
In practice, I agree that eugenics is generally a bad idea. Although inasmuch as we may be able to establish possible empirical correlates I do not see the idea that controlling who reproduces is a priori wrong. It's just a simple utilitarian expected value calculation.

What I find grating is the fact that people have been so well programmed to rebel at the idea of even discussing intelligently possible eugenic and dysgenic trends.



Cogs...

The issue you run into is how to decide who is or is not worthy to live/reproduce. Until you can find a good way of doing that, yes I will reject eugenics a priori.

The utilitarian criteria I put forth above are a good example. Weeding out the genes which correlate with doing certain antisocial things is one way to approach it. Controlling reproduction is just a strategy to increase future flourishing.

Even if I adopt your utilitarian views, you're still left with the challenge of what exactly you desire to select against, and getting other people to agree with you on that. What are you going to classify as anti-social?


it's operating off of the fallacy that there is such a thing as normalcy.


I wouldn't go that far as to reject the concept of 'normalcy'. I mean, if you agree that seemingly random things follow a normal distribution, then there is an average that seems to come about. And most people have a certain general routine, i.e. go to sleep; go to school/work; come home to your family, or if you have no family , just a house; watch t.v. read a book; experience some of the same culture that other people experience because of it's tendency to be right in your face.

Of course, most people on this site don't qualify for the 'normal' people. But we all seem to know what a 'normal' person is supposed to be like. Why else would there be hundreds of threads on the 'neurotypical'- a person of sufficient social knowledge to be competent in the normal world.

You don't just disregard a model because it has some incosistencies here and there. You find its limitations and you specify them. The concept of 'normality' is one of them. It has its limitations.


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26 May 2008, 4:53 pm

abstrusemortal wrote:
skafather84 wrote:
Orwell wrote:
twoshots wrote:
Orwell wrote:
twoshots wrote:
In practice, I agree that eugenics is generally a bad idea. Although inasmuch as we may be able to establish possible empirical correlates I do not see the idea that controlling who reproduces is a priori wrong. It's just a simple utilitarian expected value calculation.

What I find grating is the fact that people have been so well programmed to rebel at the idea of even discussing intelligently possible eugenic and dysgenic trends.



Cogs...

The issue you run into is how to decide who is or is not worthy to live/reproduce. Until you can find a good way of doing that, yes I will reject eugenics a priori.

The utilitarian criteria I put forth above are a good example. Weeding out the genes which correlate with doing certain antisocial things is one way to approach it. Controlling reproduction is just a strategy to increase future flourishing.

Even if I adopt your utilitarian views, you're still left with the challenge of what exactly you desire to select against, and getting other people to agree with you on that. What are you going to classify as anti-social?


it's operating off of the fallacy that there is such a thing as normalcy.


I wouldn't go that far as to reject the concept of 'normalcy'. I mean, if you agree that seemingly random things follow a normal distribution, then there is an average that seems to come about. And most people have a certain general routine, i.e. go to sleep; go to school/work; come home to your family, or if you have no family , just a house; watch t.v. read a book; experience some of the same culture that other people experience because of it's tendency to be right in your face.

Of course, most people on this site don't qualify for the 'normal' people. But we all seem to know what a 'normal' person is supposed to be like. Why else would there be hundreds of threads on the 'neurotypical'- a person of sufficient social knowledge to be competent in the normal world.

The concept of 'normalcy' has it's place....



it does but the concept is also vastly abused. so again, eugenics has its place...just not in our current timeline. normalcy has its place but not to the extent of endangering those on the fringe.



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26 May 2008, 4:57 pm

twoshots wrote:
On the contrary; there is absolutely no need for such platonic silliness in a eugenic system as I have proposed. It is simple control of reproduction for utilitarian ends.

Orwell - It is simple. Laws embody values. Establish heritability of something that society want to discourage (e.g. criminal behavior). Favor reproduction of those who are less likely to do such. There are obvious technical details to be worked through, but the system is not obviously infeasible by any means. I merely suggest that you keep an open mind. I at least intuit that it is possible (should I feel the need to work through it); and the common counterargument that people have a natural right to reproduce I find... dubious.



I agree with Orwell on this. You all, who agree with eugenics, just seem to quixotic. This idea is not practical.

I'm not being inconsistent when I say that it might work. I was, and maybe still am, a Don Quixote - it's hard to implement something of this magnitude. It would require people that are very honest, very passionate - too many 'very's. It's just not some that would work in our world. There are too many people that take shortcuts; lie and cheat - steal.


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26 May 2008, 5:00 pm

skafather84 wrote:


it does but the concept is also vastly abused. so again, eugenics has its place...just not in our current timeline. normalcy has its place but not to the extent of endangering those on the fringe.



I'm not sure if I can trust the idea of eugenics to another time period, preferably in the future.

Probably the most ideal of them all, the Greeks, did not imagine a society as we have it today. They probably would have had the same faith in our world today that you have in a future time. Human nature probably will never change. I'm not saying that it is not possible, but facts must be dealt with, history must not be ignored. We have hundreds of wars to account for our nature.


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26 May 2008, 5:03 pm

twoshots wrote:
On the contrary; there is absolutely no need for such platonic silliness in a eugenic system as I have proposed. It is simple control of reproduction for utilitarian ends.

Orwell - It is simple. Laws embody values. Establish heritability of something that society want to discourage (e.g. criminal behavior). Favor reproduction of those who are less likely to do such. There are obvious technical details to be worked through, but the system is not obviously infeasible by any means. I merely suggest that you keep an open mind. I at least intuit that it is possible (should I feel the need to work through it); and the common counterargument that people have a natural right to reproduce I find... dubious.


This sort of argument is similar to dealing with no friction when considering motion of a tire, etc.. There are just too many details that could be arbitrarily chosen. It's just not plausible - I feel repetitive saying the same thing.


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26 May 2008, 5:14 pm

Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Whether that's true or not, man has obviously been in an IQ decline. It could be argued that it began with the fall of Rome or perhaps the French Revolution. It certainly began no later than the early part of the twentieth century when innovation and scientific advances reached the point to where the genetically-unfit (in the Darwinian sense) were able to survive, reproduce and even thrive. Studies indicate that in the last 100 years each successive generation averages about one IQ point lower than the previous.

Really now. Could you link to some of these studies? No, you couldn't, because they DON'T EXIST. Stop making stuff up. Every single piece of research I have ever seen has measured a steady increase in average IQs since the tests were introduced.


Here it is. From the book Dysgenics: Genetic Deterioration in Modern Populations.

Quote:
The Bell Curve devoted one chapter to the question of where we are evolving with regard to IQ (Herrnstein and Murray, 1994). Dysgenics picks up where The Bell Curve left off. Professor Lynn surveys studies from all over the world, and everywhere finds the least intelligent people having the most children. The only exception is sub-Saharan Africa where contraception is rarely used. Our genetic potential for intelligence has been declining in Europe and North America since the mid- 1800s, with a total loss of about 5-8 IQ points. Currently, we are losing almost one IQ point each generation.

http://www.eugenics.net/papers/lynnrev.html


Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
The advancements and wealth that came, in the period after the Industrial Revolution was firmly established, insulated much of society from the harshness of natural selection. The thing about this is that as society degrades, its ability to maintain this insulation goes down with it. Eventually returning to a state where the unfit die off and only the strong and intelligent survive.

And what evidence do you have that a population separated from evolutionary pressures would spontaneously degrade? More likely would be simply a preservation of the status quo.


Not spontaneously, but gradually. If the less-capable and intelligent are unable to survive in a harsh and competitive environment, then it stands to reason that a softening of evolutionary pressures will enable those individuals to survive and multiply. Thus lowering the average IQ of the population as a whole.

This doesn't mean that intelligent people won't continue to live and reproduce. It just means that they will represent a smaller and smaller portion of society. Eventually the "brains" that build and sustain a modern civilization will be to few in number to sustain the system.


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26 May 2008, 5:23 pm

Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Whether that's true or not, man has obviously been in an IQ decline. It could be argued that it began with the fall of Rome or perhaps the French Revolution. It certainly began no later than the early part of the twentieth century when innovation and scientific advances reached the point to where the genetically-unfit (in the Darwinian sense) were able to survive, reproduce and even thrive. Studies indicate that in the last 100 years each successive generation averages about one IQ point lower than the previous.

Really now. Could you link to some of these studies? No, you couldn't, because they DON'T EXIST. Stop making stuff up. Every single piece of research I have ever seen has measured a steady increase in average IQs since the tests were introduced.


Here it is. From the book Dysgenics: Genetic Deterioration in Modern Populations.

Quote:
The Bell Curve devoted one chapter to the question of where we are evolving with regard to IQ (Herrnstein and Murray, 1994). Dysgenics picks up where The Bell Curve left off. Professor Lynn surveys studies from all over the world, and everywhere finds the least intelligent people having the most children. The only exception is sub-Saharan Africa where contraception is rarely used. Our genetic potential for intelligence has been declining in Europe and North America since the mid- 1800s, with a total loss of about 5-8 IQ points. Currently, we are losing almost one IQ point each generation.

http://www.eugenics.net/papers/lynnrev.html


Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
The advancements and wealth that came, in the period after the Industrial Revolution was firmly established, insulated much of society from the harshness of natural selection. The thing about this is that as society degrades, its ability to maintain this insulation goes down with it. Eventually returning to a state where the unfit die off and only the strong and intelligent survive.

And what evidence do you have that a population separated from evolutionary pressures would spontaneously degrade? More likely would be simply a preservation of the status quo.


Not spontaneously, but gradually. If the less-capable and intelligent are unable to survive in a harsh and competitive environment, then it stands to reason that a softening of evolutionary pressures will enable those individuals to survive and grow. Thus lowering the average IQ of the population as a whole.

This doesn't mean that intelligent people won't continue to live and reproduce. It just means that they will represent a smaller and smaller portion of society. Eventually the "brains" that build and sustain a modern civilization will be to few in number to sustain the system.

1. He makes claims, but provides no evidence for them, no measurements. He makes claims about average IQs for a time before IQ testing existed. Find a real source please.
2. What is this crap about "genetic potential for intelligence?" That can't actually be measured, we can only measure the end result of genetics and environment.
3. I was using "spontaneously" in the scientific sense, I didn't necessarily mean "quickly." If evolutionary pressures are removed, then there is no selection in any direction and the gene pool would be expected to remain roughly the same from one generation to the next.


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26 May 2008, 5:35 pm

to augment what orwell said: the binet test didn't even surface until the late 19th century and didn't receive any kind of mass editing towards a more favorable, less biased standing until within the last 40 or so years. everything before that is pure speculation. not to mention it's putting too much faith in a measurement that still is not very accurate nor does it represent a full picture of what should be measured in reference to what's considered "intelligence".



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26 May 2008, 7:14 pm

Orwell wrote:
1. He makes claims, but provides no evidence for them, no measurements. He makes claims about average IQs for a time before IQ testing existed. Find a real source please.


I don't own the book and there doesn't appear to be an online version. The author, Richard Lynn, is a well established Research Professor at the University of Ulster who has written or co-authored more than 11 books and 200 journal articles. I don't believe Lynn would produce an academic publication without citing the data he used in his findings. Although that probably won't satisfy you.

Orwell wrote:
2. What is this crap about "genetic potential for intelligence?" That can't actually be measured, we can only measure the end result of genetics and environment.


Sampling different individuals who live in the same environment should give us a good idea as to their genetic potential for intelligence. It is true that no two people can have the exact same environments, but with care close matches can be made. Intelligence research isn't as clear cut of a science as say something like chemistry is. Nonetheless research on the subject does provide us with useful information.

Orwell wrote:
3. I was using "spontaneously" in the scientific sense, I didn't necessarily mean "quickly." If evolutionary pressures are removed, then there is no selection in any direction and the gene pool would be expected to remain roughly the same from one generation to the next.


It is illogical to claim that a particular force (in this case the evolutionary pressure of survival) on a subject (in this case a human population) will have no effect on the subject once it is removed. If the gene pool remains the same in the absence of evolutionary pressure then there could never have been any pressure to begin with.

Modern societies are filled with millions of persons who would have no hope of surviving if they were to find themselves in the same place a 100 years ago. Back then life was hard. You worked hard and long most every day just to survive. If you were lazy or incompetent then you died and nobody cared. What a changed world we live in today.


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26 May 2008, 7:33 pm

abstrusemortal wrote:
twoshots wrote:
On the contrary; there is absolutely no need for such platonic silliness in a eugenic system as I have proposed. It is simple control of reproduction for utilitarian ends.

Orwell - It is simple. Laws embody values. Establish heritability of something that society want to discourage (e.g. criminal behavior). Favor reproduction of those who are less likely to do such. There are obvious technical details to be worked through, but the system is not obviously infeasible by any means. I merely suggest that you keep an open mind. I at least intuit that it is possible (should I feel the need to work through it); and the common counterargument that people have a natural right to reproduce I find... dubious.


This sort of argument is similar to dealing with no friction when considering motion of a tire, etc.. There are just too many details that could be arbitrarily chosen. It's just not plausible - I feel repetitive saying the same thing.

Similar charges can be said when dealing with the implementation of any number of government systems. The real world is a messy place, but a messy place whose messiness is matched only by the convolutions of the legal code.

If you wish to take a deontological stance and say that eugenics is inherently bad then I view this as fine. But the arguments that it would be ok save that it cannot implemented are a variation on the argument from lack of imagination, IMO.


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26 May 2008, 7:37 pm

Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Whether that's true or not, man has obviously been in an IQ decline. It could be argued that it began with the fall of Rome or perhaps the French Revolution. It certainly began no later than the early part of the twentieth century when innovation and scientific advances reached the point to where the genetically-unfit (in the Darwinian sense) were able to survive, reproduce and even thrive. Studies indicate that in the last 100 years each successive generation averages about one IQ point lower than the previous.

Really now. Could you link to some of these studies? No, you couldn't, because they DON'T EXIST. Stop making stuff up. Every single piece of research I have ever seen has measured a steady increase in average IQs since the tests were introduced.


Here it is. From the book Dysgenics: Genetic Deterioration in Modern Populations.

Quote:
The Bell Curve devoted one chapter to the question of where we are evolving with regard to IQ (Herrnstein and Murray, 1994). Dysgenics picks up where The Bell Curve left off. Professor Lynn surveys studies from all over the world, and everywhere finds the least intelligent people having the most children. The only exception is sub-Saharan Africa where contraception is rarely used. Our genetic potential for intelligence has been declining in Europe and North America since the mid- 1800s, with a total loss of about 5-8 IQ points. Currently, we are losing almost one IQ point each generation.

http://www.eugenics.net/papers/lynnrev.html


Orwell wrote:
Jacob_Landshire wrote:
The advancements and wealth that came, in the period after the Industrial Revolution was firmly established, insulated much of society from the harshness of natural selection. The thing about this is that as society degrades, its ability to maintain this insulation goes down with it. Eventually returning to a state where the unfit die off and only the strong and intelligent survive.

And what evidence do you have that a population separated from evolutionary pressures would spontaneously degrade? More likely would be simply a preservation of the status quo.


Not spontaneously, but gradually. If the less-capable and intelligent are unable to survive in a harsh and competitive environment, then it stands to reason that a softening of evolutionary pressures will enable those individuals to survive and multiply. Thus lowering the average IQ of the population as a whole.

This doesn't mean that intelligent people won't continue to live and reproduce. It just means that they will represent a smaller and smaller portion of society. Eventually the "brains" that build and sustain a modern civilization will be to few in number to sustain the system.

Stick to empirical and peer reviewed stuff. Otherwise it just detracts from credibility. And the article I cited did cite other articles which went into dysgenic trends in genotypic IQ, if someone wants to do my research for me...


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26 May 2008, 7:54 pm

Jacob_Landshire wrote:
Orwell wrote:
1. He makes claims, but provides no evidence for them, no measurements. He makes claims about average IQs for a time before IQ testing existed. Find a real source please.


I don't own the book and there doesn't appear to be an online version. The author, Richard Lynn, is a well established Research Professor at the University of Ulster who has written or co-authored more than 11 books and 200 journal articles. I don't believe Lynn would produce an academic publication without citing the data he used in his findings. Although that probably won't satisfy you.

A quick Google/Wikipedia search brought me a lot of interesting information about Lynn. Based on what I read, I distrust him. As I said, he is claiming a decline in IQ dating back to a time when IQ scores did not exist. There can not possible be any basis for those claims.

Jacob_Landshire wrote:
It is illogical to claim that a particular force (in this case the evolutionary pressure of survival) on a subject (in this case a human population) will have no effect on the subject once it is removed. If the gene pool remains the same in the absence of evolutionary pressure then there could never have been any pressure to begin with.

No, it is not illogical. Evolutionary pressures caused humans to develop bipedalism. The pressures that caused that are no longer acting; does this mean we will revert to being quadrupeds or arboreals? Certainly not. Likewise, a removal of the pressures that selected for intelligence won't result in us becoming dumber but rather that we won't become any more intelligent. And really, we wouldn't have become any more intelligent as a whole regardless of those pressures because they only pushed so hard. Please stop with this Neo-Lamarckian dribble.


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26 May 2008, 7:57 pm

twoshots wrote:
If you wish to take a deontological stance and say that eugenics is inherently bad then I view this as fine. But the arguments that it would be ok save that it cannot implemented are a variation on the argument from lack of imagination, IMO.

Well, I view it as deontologically wrong but most do not share such a philosophical outlook so it is necessary to also point out the impracticalities of such a system. From a utilitarian perspective, eugenics vs not eugenics is essentially the same as socialism vs free-market capitalism. Which one works better? In both cases, the latter because it is impossible for central planners to EVER have enough information to run the world responsibly. Rely instead on the "invisible hand" of decentralized decision-making by individuals.


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26 May 2008, 9:46 pm

Although I agree that centralized control has lead to disasters the so-called free market with its inclination to stabilize acquired powers of financial wealth is equally inclined to frightful social results as history has well demonstrated. There is a balance between the two where neither totally centralized social nor complete financial control dominated but are carefully modulated by results. Both wrong headed idealism and total market domination have inherent dangers and both must be supervised in the light of basic human decency and general freedom of thought and action.



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27 May 2008, 3:33 am

Orwell wrote:
From a utilitarian perspective, eugenics vs not eugenics is essentially the same as socialism vs free-market capitalism.

Eugenics doesn't have to be centralised. If individual companies make and sell various gene therapies, eugenics will simply be part of the free market.

Also, while the free market can be seen as a very large, parallel computed evolutionary strategy, it isn't perfectly optimal. Centralized planning doesn't work well for big communities because humans are too stupid to do it properly. (Socialism has worked fine for some very small communities.) But perhaps with the aid of technology centralized planning could outperform the free market even in big communities.

Some problems I see as having been caused by the free market:

Tobacco companies selling carcinogenic products for decades while covering up evidence of harm.
Microsoft getting a monopoly on school software in the USA through clever marketing ploys. (Luckily third world countries escaped the trap and can use open source instead.)
Delays in alternate energy research because oil was cheap (even though they knew it would almost certainly run out).

The free market acted on these things eventually, but often damagingly late. I hope we solve the energy problem before a crisis occurs.


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27 May 2008, 3:54 am

The crisis is already in operation. No doubt the free market has its uses but in health care it is a terrifying disaster. All the major technological advances save a few which are the basis of the modern economy such as atomic power, the internet, the quantum technology behind miniature circuitry, heavier than air aircraft, and even much of the technology behind the transportation system such as road networks, rocketry and satellite communication and global positioning, much of the basic research behind drugs, are the result of heavy government public investment and not the free market.