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AspieOtaku
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03 Jan 2014, 3:13 am

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJTzMHDaOlg[/youtube]


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LoveNotHate
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03 Jan 2014, 6:31 am

Looking at the video I think the suicide rate must be astronomical ...

EVERY DAY IN INDONESIA 150 people commit suicide (average) source, http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Cu ... 1404242294

How many are transsexual people ?

1. 237 million population according to wiki / source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indonesia

2. Male : female birth ratio in Indonesia is 1.05 males for every 1 female birth / source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... _sex_ratio

3. Estimated male population = 237 million * (1.4/1.4+1) = 138.25 million males, and 237 million * (1/1.4+1) = 98.75 million females

4. Assume MtF transsexualism occurs on the order of estimated 1:375 births to 1:500 births / source, http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/conway/ ... lence.html
Note: this ratio range does not include the entire spectrum of trans people, only those that want to fully transition to female.

5. 138.25 million males / 500 = 276,500 and 138.25 million males / 375 = 368,000 MTF Transsexuals, so BETWEEN 276,500 and 368,000 MTF TRANSSEXUALS

6. Assume the ratio of trans woman to trans-men is 1.4 to 1 i.e., 1.4 trans woman per trans man / source of a Swedish study that showed a 1.4 : 1 ratio for those seeking surgery, source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transgender

7. (1 / 1 + 1.4 ) * 276,500 = 115, 208 to (1 / 1 + 1.4 ) * 368,000 = 153, 333 , so BETWEEN 115, 208 to 153, 333 FTM TRANSSEXUALS

8. TOTAL TRANSSEXUALS = 276, 500 + 115, 208 = 391, 708 to 368, 000 + 153, 333 = 521, 333, so BETWEEN 391,708 and 521, 333 TOTAL TRANSSEXUALS

9. Assume 41% attempted suicide rate , source / http://www.livescience.com/11208-high-s ... eople.html

10. (391,708 * (.41)) = 160, 600 to (521, 333 * (.41)) = 213, 746, so BETWEEN 160, 600 to 213, 746 TRANSSEXUALS ATTEMPT SUICIDE

10. According to a report released by the American Association of Suicidology, there are 25 attempts at suicide for every one success, so (25:1) / source http://lostallhope.com/suicide-statistics

11. 160, 600 * (1/1+ 25) = 6, 177 successful suicides per first attempt to 213, 746 * (1/1+25) = 8, 221 successful suicides per first attempt, so BETWEEN 6, 177 to 8, 221 SUICIDES ON FIRST ATTEMPT that is assuming one attempt

12. We can imagine there could be several attempts based on lack of acceptance from the Muslim religion, lack of care available, lack of job opportunity, lack of family acceptance which would double or nearly triple the estimated suicide cases. I will assume only two attempts.

13. (160, 600-6177) * (1/1+ 25) = 5, 939 successful suicides per second attempt to (213, 746-8, 221) * (1/1+25) = 7, 905 successful suicides per second attempt, so BETWEEN 5, 939 to 8, 221 SUICIDES ON SECOND ATTEMPT

14. 6, 177+ 5, 939 =12, 116 to 8, 221 +7,905 =16, 126, so BETWEEN 12, 116 to 16, 126 TOAL TRANSSEXUAL SUICIDES

15. 12, 116 / 365 = 33 to 16, 126 / 365 = 44 , so BETWEEN 33 to 44 TRANSSEXUAL SUICIDES AVERAGE PER DAY THERE



Last edited by LoveNotHate on 04 Jan 2014, 2:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.

AspieOtaku
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04 Jan 2014, 1:17 am

Im surprised they arent trying this out in other muslim countries like Iran Turkey or Afghanistan!


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beneficii
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04 Jan 2014, 1:40 am

I believe a transsexual woman was President Obama's nanny while we lived in Indonesia as a child. Correct me if I'm wrong.


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LoveNotHate
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04 Jan 2014, 2:21 pm

Anyone know what is being injected at [19:21]?

Saline ?



Ganondox
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05 Jan 2014, 10:07 am

LoveNotHate wrote:
Looking at the video I think the suicide rate must be astronomical ...

EVERY DAY IN INDONESIA 150 people commit suicide (average) source, http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Cu ... 1404242294

How many are transsexual people ?

1. 237 million population according to wiki / source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indonesia

2. Male : female birth ratio in Indonesia is 1.05 males for every 1 female birth / source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... _sex_ratio

3. Estimated male population = 237 million * (1.4/1.4+1) = 138.25 million males, and 237 million * (1/1.4+1) = 98.75 million females

4. Assume MtF transsexualism occurs on the order of estimated 1:375 births to 1:500 births / source, http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/conway/ ... lence.html
Note: this ratio range does not include the entire spectrum of trans people, only those that want to fully transition to female.

5. 138.25 million males / 500 = 276,500 and 138.25 million males / 375 = 368,000 MTF Transsexuals, so BETWEEN 276,500 and 368,000 MTF TRANSSEXUALS

6. Assume the ratio of trans woman to trans-men is 1.4 to 1 i.e., 1.4 trans woman per trans man / source of a Swedish study that showed a 1.4 : 1 ratio for those seeking surgery, source, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transgender

7. (1 / 1 + 1.4 ) * 276,500 = 115, 208 to (1 / 1 + 1.4 ) * 368,000 = 153, 333 , so BETWEEN 115, 208 to 153, 333 FTM TRANSSEXUALS

8. TOTAL TRANSSEXUALS = 276, 500 + 115, 208 = 391, 708 to 368, 000 + 153, 333 = 521, 333, so BETWEEN 391,708 and 521, 333 TOTAL TRANSSEXUALS

9. Assume 41% attempted suicide rate , source / http://www.livescience.com/11208-high-s ... eople.html

10. (391,708 * (.41)) = 160, 600 to (521, 333 * (.41)) = 213, 746, so BETWEEN 160, 600 to 213, 746 TRANSSEXUALS ATTEMPT SUICIDE

10. According to a report released by the American Association of Suicidology, there are 25 attempts at suicide for every one success, so (25:1) / source http://lostallhope.com/suicide-statistics

11. 160, 600 * (1/1+ 25) = 6, 177 successful suicides per first attempt to 213, 746 * (1/1+25) = 8, 221 successful suicides per first attempt, so BETWEEN 6, 177 to 8, 221 SUICIDES ON FIRST ATTEMPT that is assuming one attempt

12. We can imagine there could be several attempts based on lack of acceptance from the Muslim religion, lack of care available, lack of job opportunity, lack of family acceptance which would double or nearly triple the estimated suicide cases. I will assume only two attempts.

13. (160, 600-6177) * (1/1+ 25) = 5, 939 successful suicides per second attempt to (213, 746-8, 221) * (1/1+25) = 7, 905 successful suicides per second attempt, so BETWEEN 5, 939 to 8, 221 SUICIDES ON SECOND ATTEMPT

14. 6, 177+ 5, 939 =12, 116 to 8, 221 +7,905 =16, 126, so BETWEEN 12, 116 to 16, 126 TOAL TRANSSEXUAL SUICIDES

15. 12, 116 / 365 = 33 to 16, 126 / 365 = 44 , so BETWEEN 33 to 44 TRANSSEXUAL SUICIDES AVERAGE PER DAY THERE


That doesn't sound right at all, that would be saying at least a fifth of the suicides are transexuals, which, while possible, doesn't seem likely with the 1/375 rate of transexuals. Also, I don't think you can extend western statistics on transsexuality to other cultures, transsexuality is based on gender which is culture bound. Waria are not the same thing as the western idea of transexual, it's a traditional gender in the region.

AspieOtaku wrote:
Im surprised they arent trying this out in other muslim countries like Iran Turkey or Afghanistan!


Actually Iran is one of the most tolerate countries of transsexuality, specifically because they view it as an acceptable treatment for homosexuality. :P Anyway, Indonesia is not an islamic country like Iran or Afghanistan is. While it is predominantly muslim and it doesn't have full freedom of religion, there are range of acceptable religions and a sizable percentage of the country isn't muslim. Indonesia is fairly liberal for a non-western country. In comparison, Turkey is more religiously free than Indonesia, but a much larger percentage of it's population is muslim. Anyway, the countries cannot be compared as the cultures in those countries are completely than in Indonesia. While none of those countries are Arab cultures, they are more so than Indonesia is.


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LoveNotHate
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05 Jan 2014, 4:36 pm

Ganondox wrote:
That doesn't sound right at all, that would be saying at least a fifth of the suicides are transexuals, which, while possible, doesn't seem likely with the 1/375 rate of transexuals. Also, I don't think you can extend western statistics on transsexuality to other cultures, transsexuality is based on gender which is culture bound. Waria are not the same thing as the western idea of transexual, it's a traditional gender in the region.

AspieOtaku wrote:
Im surprised they arent trying this out in other muslim countries like Iran Turkey or Afghanistan!


Thank you Ganondox. It does not sound right to me either, or I am too shocked to want to believe it. The suicide rate is from WHO (World Heath Organization) of 24 suicides per 100,000 per year which is 23.7 * 24 = 56,088 suicides per year = 56, 880/ 365 = 150 average suicides per day alone is shocking.

The derived numbers of ..
391,708 and 521, 333 total transsexual
12, 116 to 16, 126 total transsexual suicides in a year

means just 3% of transsexuals commit suicide per year, that does not sound so wrong.

If there is a problem, then it is probably in the definition of transsxexual and the original prevelancy rate.



Ganondox
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25 Jan 2014, 9:07 pm

LoveNotHate wrote:
Ganondox wrote:
That doesn't sound right at all, that would be saying at least a fifth of the suicides are transexuals, which, while possible, doesn't seem likely with the 1/375 rate of transexuals. Also, I don't think you can extend western statistics on transsexuality to other cultures, transsexuality is based on gender which is culture bound. Waria are not the same thing as the western idea of transexual, it's a traditional gender in the region.

AspieOtaku wrote:
Im surprised they arent trying this out in other muslim countries like Iran Turkey or Afghanistan!


Thank you Ganondox. It does not sound right to me either, or I am too shocked to want to believe it. The suicide rate is from WHO (World Heath Organization) of 24 suicides per 100,000 per year which is 23.7 * 24 = 56,088 suicides per year = 56, 880/ 365 = 150 average suicides per day alone is shocking.

The derived numbers of ..
391,708 and 521, 333 total transsexual
12, 116 to 16, 126 total transsexual suicides in a year

means just 3% of transsexuals commit suicide per year, that does not sound so wrong.

If there is a problem, then it is probably in the definition of transsxexual and the original prevelancy rate.


That sounds a lot more reasonable. Still too high, but it's a statistic that makes sense.


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