The_Face_of_Boo wrote:
ISIS will probably be the most devastating force in ME since the Mongol invasion.
I think that they are currently at the peak of their power. They gained so much support at the beginning of their jump into Iraq based on the discrimination those in the region were subject to and their promises of improving infrastructure and jobs. Now that the local population has seen how miserably they are failing at their promises and their extreme violence core, they will begin losing (and currently are losing) more and more support among the locals.
ISIS is a group of middle aged extremists giving their last violent push in an effort to remain relevant. It will not be long before they are reduced to a relatively small fringe group, splintering into ever tinier factions.
Most of the northern Sunni tribes in the area do not like the Sunni ISIS extremists any more than you do. They have been fighting back, and recently have begun cooperating with the Iraqi government and coordinating with US airstrikes to hit them hard. I think the fat paychecks they promised their fighters (who largely consist of the poorest in the region) will not be enough to keep many of them from deserting in the face of overwhelming odds, especially as those paychecks have not been everything promised.
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"The surest way to corrupt a youth is to instruct him to hold in higher esteem those who think alike than those who think differently" -Nietzsche