"Is nerd culture just autistic culture in disguise?"
No, if anything I still see 'autistic' used as an insult/slur on websites such as reddit, which is a very nerdy and geeky one.
"If not, how much overlap do you think there is?"
None whatsoever.
"Do you think there's a connection/correlation between the rise in autism diagnoses and this current cultural shift?"
No. The only correlation is that some men, the overweight/obese one's that like anime, fedora hats, reddit, sci-fi/fantasy, costume-play, My little pony, and Japanese culture, tend to have a high Autism/Asperger's rate.
Perhaps we're more likely to be nerds/geeks than jocks or such, but that has been true across all time and not just modern ages.
"Finally, do you think it's a permanent shift or a passing phase?"
Hopefully not permanent. Hopefully it's one of those sub-cultures that has already peaked and will still exist but be less popular.
Jocks, skaters, goths, etc. have existed for a few decades now and nerds have too.
Copy&Pasted from an older thread, additions in bold.
Worst of all, these 'neo geeks' (my word for modern nerds/geeks) claim they're "so awkward lol" with their big 10-20 person geek crowd while us genuinely awkward aspies struggle to even befriend 1 or 2 stoner/drug dealers. They're also 'so weird' and 'crazy' when they have the most mainstream taste of millenials while we continue to have genuinely obscure interests and can never find anyone yo get along with.
I see a lot of neogeeks use this a kind of self depreciating humor when its unwarranted. The ultimate insult o us aspies who genuinely know struggle.
So if anything they only make me feel even more alienated because they are nerds/geeks, apparently you'd think they should be easier to connect with, they should have maybe slightly poorer social skills than the average N.T. meaning we'd relate to them better, etc. but it's all an illusion and under the facade are just trendy millenials and the product of their current generations ideals...
They are more foreign and difficult to understand than 'average'/basic people or jocks or such.
then again, I'm not a nerd/geek, at least I don't consider myself one, so maybe I just can't connect with them in general.
But then again, my best friend is the biggest nerd/geek and very into all this trendy stuff.
I think an aspie nerd/geek is a world of difference to an N.T. one. Aspie ones seem more authentic in their interest and less 'liking it because it's cool.'