If the GOP implodes

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With the GOP having lost the last two presidential elections, and with the strong possibility they will lose this one, there is talk that the GOP might implode, or "die".

If that does indeed happen, what scenario of those listed below is the most likely?

1. A new center-right party takes its place

2. Existing minor parties such as the Libertarians and Greens, and independent candidates become more competitive in future elections

3. One-party rule by the Democrats for the foreseeable future

Option 3.

The Libetarians hey day as it were occurred in wake of the burgoning of the survelliance state and the bailouts and the Iraq War. Rand Paul thought he could ride that wave but the Paris and San Bernadino terrorist attacks happened and peoples priorities changed to more security over privacy. Unlike Trump Paul is on the unpupular side of the survalience issue, the unpopular side of the use of force, and Trump made himself the lighting rod for economic resentments and non globalism which the Libetarians thought were their issues.

As for the Greens if they gain in popularity it will not be from disaffected Republicans who oppose them on practically every issue but disaffected Sanders supporters.

The GOP won't die. At worst it will split into a Trump/Tea Party/Nationalist party and a more traditional conservative party.

I think both parties will be strong in certain regions--South, Midwest, etc. But they won't be able to compete for national office.


However, I don't think that will happen.

Unless Trump keeps on getting crazier (like he is today) I think he has a GREAT chance of winning because he's bringing in so many new voters and dissatisfaction among working class whites is so high.

I am guessing Option 1 is the most likely.

But as for 2016, I am debating whether Seymour Butts or I.P. Freely is a better write-in candidate.

I think it is very unlikely that 2016 would be the end of the Republican Party. It may be damaged, but the degree of strength which many of the state republican parties hold makes it likely that the party would survive 2016. Granted it may be possible that in a few decades it may go the way of the Whigs.

The GOP has been "imploding" for well over a decade. It's like watching a train wreck in slow motion.

The Republican Party has survived much worse

It won't "implode." It will just change to fit the "times."