visagrunt wrote:
But with Northern Ireland there are three possibilities: Remaining in the United Kingdom, union with Eire or independence. As any Australian republican can tell you, questions with three possible solutions make for problematic referenda.
But I don't think Independence is on the cards for Northern Ireland, there is no third way, no public support, it's either a united Ireland or together with the UK.
The referendum could be the same as Scotland's with a 'no' vote meaning they would be independent, before another referendum to join with the republic of Ireland. Or there could be an understood agreement that a 'no' vote would effectively be joining the republic, saving the need for a second referendum and all powers simply switch from Westminster to Dublin.
Northern Ireland just isn't self-sustainable on it's own. Australia is.