BroncosRtheBest wrote:
The Republicans could run an aardvark and win.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
There are now at least three movements within the Republican Party (albeit with significant overlaps): the GOP establishment (who are driven by business interests), the Christian Right (who are primarily driven by social conservativism) and the Tea Party (who are driven by tax and scope of government).
To whom does the party turn for its nominee? The bitterness of the nomination battles this year are nothing in comparison to what will happen in the coming year and 2012--they will make Obama vs. Clinton look like a picnic.
And once the nominee is chosen, then the question will become how that nominee resonates with the electorate, and most importantly with the swing voters who will actually make the difference in determining which states are the battleground states, and what the results will be in those states.
All of this will be compounded by the fact that the Republicans are now in control of much of the legislative agenda. If the party fails to deliver in the House, then the Democrats will be able to paint them as ineffectual, and not capable of governing. If they are successful, thought, then they deliver the keys to the White House to Obama for a second term.
This isn't 1992 all over again--it's 1996 all over again.
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--James