1.3m Robots By 2018 Coming To Replace Human Workers

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slave
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01 Apr 2016, 1:17 am

Please view the Infographic in the link.

http://www.visualcapitalist.com/charting-automation-potential-of-u-s-jobs/

"..... 1.3 million industrial robots would be installed between 2015 and 2018, and this would more than double the stock of active robots around the world.

While many of those robots will be used in the automotive and electronics sectors, there are many other roles that robots will be filling in the future. Surprisingly, according to global consultant McKinsey & Co, not all of these jobs are low-skill, low-wage jobs, either.

Mckinsey ran a comprehensive study of nearly 800 different jobs in the United States, ranging from CEOs to fast food workers. Between these roles, they found 2,000 individual work activities, and assessed them against 18 different capabilities that could potentially be automated. In their analysis, they found that 45% of work activities representing $2 trillion in wages can already by automated based on proven technology that currently exists. A further 13% of work activities in the U.S. economy could be automated if the technologies used to understand and process human language were brought up to the median human level of competence.
Who’s in, Who’s Out?

The interactive visualization above charts specific careers on their automation potential (out of 100%) along with the hourly average wage of the job.

What is most interesting about the analysis is that automation potential doesn’t correlate with low-skill, low-wage jobs as much as one may think. While it’s true that the three million fast food workers across the country have an automation potential of 74%, and that heavy truck driving activities can be 69% automated, there are also great counter-examples: for example, only 7% of manual labor and 22% of janitorial activities could be automated.

Likewise, high-paying jobs are not necessarily robot-proof.

Doctors (23%), nurses (29%), and even CEOs (25%) all have significant amounts of their jobs that can be automated with current technology. Almost half (47%) of what pharmacists do can be done by a robo-pharmacist, and 72% of commercial pilot activities can be done through computers."

How will this affect you and those you know?



auntblabby
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01 Apr 2016, 2:35 am

within our lifetimes we will see the 99% declared surplus. but the joke may be on the 1% if there is nobody left to buy their products.



slave
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02 Apr 2016, 12:44 pm

auntblabby wrote:
within our lifetimes we will see the 99% declared surplus. but the joke may be on the 1% if there is nobody left to buy their products.
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: good point!



AspieUtah
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02 Apr 2016, 12:51 pm

auntblabby wrote:
within our lifetimes we will see the 99% declared surplus. but the joke may be on the 1% if there is nobody left to buy their products.

If world population under "500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature" is achieved and maintained, those who celebrate that goal will have no need for human workers or money.


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02 Apr 2016, 1:08 pm

AspieUtah wrote:
auntblabby wrote:
within our lifetimes we will see the 99% declared surplus. but the joke may be on the 1% if there is nobody left to buy their products.

If world population under "500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature" is achieved and maintained, those who celebrate that goal will have no need for human workers or money.

can you tell me how things would function in this brave new world?



AspieUtah
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02 Apr 2016, 1:12 pm

Supposedly, the bulk of the 500 million humans would serve as "administrators and engineers" of the robotic workers. Others say that all but the elite few thousand would be highly-paid slave labor (a high-tech global plantation of those who weren't euthanized by those who are deemed within the elite). What they are paid is irrelevant because it isn't as if they have much say in the matter of salary, work hours or assets.

Individuals including Ted Turner actually defend their desire to achieve this goal and enforce it proudly.


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slave
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02 Apr 2016, 6:27 pm

AspieUtah wrote:
auntblabby wrote:
within our lifetimes we will see the 99% declared surplus. but the joke may be on the 1% if there is nobody left to buy their products.

If world population under "500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature" is achieved and maintained, those who celebrate that goal will have no need for human workers or money.


......and just imagine exactly what would be involved in the transition from ~7 billion down to 500 million.

so easy to call it a "transition"....ahhhhh....euphemisms.



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02 Apr 2016, 6:56 pm

Say, are those self-driving cars ready yet? They may not look like robots but there's an awful lot of jobs in the taxi/uber/limo, fedex/ups, long and short haul trucking, even train and bus driving sectors.

Insofar as the farce that some people would be repurposed to serve our new robotic overlords; why can't those tasks also be replaced?


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auntblabby
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03 Apr 2016, 12:37 am

this convinces me more than ever, that mankind cannot prudently manage the long-term affairs of mankind.



LoveNotHate
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03 Apr 2016, 12:51 am

Crime will go down ....

Millions of police robots will be everywhere .. recording everything .. facial recognition on everyone they see...

But don't worry .. if you do nothing wrong then you have nothing to fear ;)

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03 Apr 2016, 12:59 am

My sons both worked on automotive assembly ones using robots. One still works there. They have to have people to run the robots.


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traven
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03 Apr 2016, 5:59 am

The cheaper humans become the more expensive robotics gets
sustainability?....with a positive outlook :http://www.tech.plym.ac.uk/soc/staff/GuidBugm/pub/SustainableRobotics_Africon_2011.pdf
the sustainable robot was already all the time around, béééh
https://www.google.fr/search?q=chinese+factories&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwii35qopfLLAhWLuhoKHar3D2sQ7AkIKQ&biw=1586&bih=725
https://www.opendemocracy.net/rutvica-andrijasevic-devi-sacchetto/china-may-be-far-away-but-foxconn-is-on-our-doorstep
(dreaming the corporate dreams)
more, more, more....
more of WHAT ?



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03 Apr 2016, 6:39 am

If you’re alone on an otherwise deserted island, grow your own food and make all your tools, you don’t need anyone to “buy your products”. It works the same way if the island is actually the whole Earth.

slave wrote:
......and just imagine exactly what would be involved in the transition from ~7 billion down to 500 million.


Lots of cheap meat?


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03 Apr 2016, 8:56 am

I switched over to IT a couple of years ago for this reason (plus my lifelong love of all things 'technical'). I think it will buy me an extra decade or so in full time employment if there is a sudden switch over to robotics on a large scale. However I have met many many people that simply do not have the skills or even the basic logical thought process required to write code or create/fix computers and machines. If a lot of the 'chatty' non-technical jobs are taken by robots then I can see a massive decline in employment figures in the future. A lot of the software/systems I help to create could very easily put entire departments out of work, which is concerning. I work for a large global company that has enough funds to keep extra staff around for 'client relationship' reasons, but they would be the first to go if any cut backs were needed as it would be far cheaper and easier to automate their work. A basic interactive website could do the job of one of the teams. There has been some backlash from clients in the older generation who are used to humans answering their questions, but in a decade or so aging millenials won't care about interacting with a bot to get information.



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03 Apr 2016, 12:37 pm

Normal people aren’t that easy to get rid of. If they can’t beat you with their technical skills, they’ll resort to their social skills and violence to make sure they are the ones who stay around. It sounds quite ugly when described from an autistic point of view, but don’t worry—they’ll always find a way to make you look like the bad guy and their fight like a noble cause. In fact, they’ll believe it themselves, so their behavior will be authentic and free of hypocrisy.


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auntblabby
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03 Apr 2016, 1:54 pm

Spiderpig wrote:
If you’re alone on an otherwise deserted island, grow your own food and make all your tools, you don’t need anyone to “buy your products”. It works the same way if the island is actually the whole Earth.

slave wrote:
......and just imagine exactly what would be involved in the transition from ~7 billion down to 500 million.


Lots of cheap meat?

what an awful future you describe, cannibalism and a return to stone age living.