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jimmy m
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19 Jul 2019, 7:21 am

I came across this article about the next pandemic.

Disease X -- a yet unseen deadly infectious disease with an epidemic potential for which no countermeasures exist -- has recently been added to WHO's Blueprint list of priority diseases of concern to public health. While we don’t know what Disease X might be, it reflects the fact that a future pandemic threat may be unexpected. The list contains other dreadful pathogens that were indeed unexpected when they recently emerged, such as Ebola, SARS, and Zika viruses.

Given the unknowns and the recent experience with unexpected novel pandemic threats such as SARS, it is fitting that an unknown has been added to the list. A future pandemic could either occur naturally from cross-over of animal viruses, or it could be a bioterrorism event. A recent publication of a “recipe” for how to make a close cousin of the smallpox virus in the laboratory caused a big stir among concerned scientists.


Source: Disease X: Which Plague Is Coming Next?


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lostonearth35
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19 Jul 2019, 11:23 am

The sky is falling! The sky is falling! And we must tell the king!!

:roll:



jimmy m
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19 Jul 2019, 11:36 am

lostonearth35 wrote:
The sky is falling! The sky is falling! And we must tell the king!! :roll:


I do not prescribe to "the sky is falling" philosophy. Rather I file threats using probability theory. Pandemics have happened in the past and will happen in the future. The next pandemic is a given. It will happen and millions of lives will be at risk. The main question is "What steps do you take should a pandemic suddenly materialize. The World Health Organization (WHO) has decided to identify the threat and give it a name, Disease X. Will that help in dealing with that threat when it occurs. Perhaps. I suspect, that Disease X will be used in modeling the next pandemic. And that may hold some value when the actual pandemic suddenly appears.


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xxZeromancerlovexx
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19 Jul 2019, 12:13 pm

As long as I don’t lose my friends (my stuffed animals and plushies) and don’t get disfigured and scarred up and can stay in my room while this happens I would be ok.


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blitzkrieg
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23 Sep 2023, 6:11 pm

Apparently, according to some scientists, there is more than a 1 in 4 chance of Disease X developing into and causing a global pandemic.

"Another deadly virus has a better than one in four chance of becoming a global pandemic within the decade, according to some scientists.

Experts around the globe are developing protections against it and the UK government has just invested £65 million into a vaccine facility which could tackle it.

The unknown virus with a potential to cause serious global damage is referred to by the World Health Organisation (WHO) as 'Disease X' - and its threat is growing ever more potent."


https://www.itv.com/news/2023-08-07/what-is-disease-x-the-deadly-virus-scientists-are-racing-to-protect-us-from



naturalplastic
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23 Sep 2023, 10:23 pm

Like love, medicine is a battlefield. They have to "game out" epidemic scenarios just like the Defense Department games out every possible military scenario it can think of (large and small). Taking out Ben Ladin, the now extinct USSR leading the now extinct Warsaw Pact in an invasion of Western Europe. The Pentagon even has blue prints for possible U.S. invasions of Canada. And Canada's military has blueprints for invading the US. Very few of these plans ever had to be used.

As the world gets more prosperous and more interdependent the more folks travel long distance across the globe, and the more that makes the world ripe for epidemics.