thingsthatfly wrote:
Surfman wrote:
Forecasters now tend to over predict bad weather, more often and predict sooner than bad weather actually arrives
This is so they cannot be blamed for forecasting an extreme event later than expected, or not at all.
Here is Australia they tend to underplay things - I don't know if they are worried about causing mass panic or what the situation is. With the recent floods to hit the East coast of Queensland there were associated tornadoes (not usually seen in Queensland) yet despite an American storm chaser who recognised the specific weather patterns for prime development contacting them and issuing a warning, the Bureau Of Meteorology failed to even acknowledge that a tornado had occurred, this despite it being all over the news etc. To cut a long story short, the American chap had a warning out for a defined area nearly a full day before the BOM via a weather forum. This system produced another six tornadoes, of which two hit populated areas causing extensive damage to property, all but one of them occurring PRIOR to the BOM's warning! If you want to know what's ACTUALLY happening with the weather then going via a forum for the forecast is a much better option. Government agencies (who supply weather forecast modelling to most news stations etc.) are fantastic at predicting the weather when its fairly normal and there is nothing to predict.....
We have had a couple of deaths from tornadoes in a suburb of Auckland called Albany, unheard of till last year
We also had a controversial guy called Len Ring who uses the moon to predict severe weather events, especially around perigee I think when the moon is at its closest.
Yet our government fails to impute any data which is considered politically unscientific. 'Science Politics ' being the limiting dogma in collating all relevant data
Thanks for the tip. However, I have just developed an allergy to sunlight due to weeks of good surfing and good weather. I may have to become an indoor person if this does not change, nearly 2 weeks now
or move to Ireland