Instead of a Bulls eye, this darter threw an Insect eye. Too bad for the fly or mosquito, by the way, but this aside. Is it a coincidence that the darter hit this fly
Assuming that the darter did not want to hit the eye of his opponent but the dartboard it is a lot less coincidental that he hit the board with his arrow. Now I do not know how many places an arrow can hit a dartboard, but there will undoubtedly be a lot of them, add to that the difference in depth in the dartboard in which the arrow can enter and the mobility of the fly and the possibilities are still increased. much bigger. In other words, the probability of the dart hitting that fly is very small, but the probability is not zero. Suppose that arrow had landed 2 centimeters more to the left, and the fly had chosen no other place than the arrow would have entered the red box and the fly would not have been dead. Could this be a coincidence
I think it would have aroused little surprise in most people, that arrow is just in the red box, no coincidence. I think that the last situation I sketch is indeed no coincidence, but the situation on the dartboard with the arrow that pierced the fly is no coincidence in my view. All signals were 'unconsciously' green to hit precisely that fly and not that red square 2 centimeters further away.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/tvzZhO8.png)