blitzkrieg wrote:
funeralxempire wrote:
blitzkrieg wrote:
For all anyone knows, the predictions regarding anthropogenic climate change could be as wrong as the "Miasma theory" was, which people believed for a very long time.
"The miasma theory (also called the miasmic theory) is an abandoned medical theory that held that diseases—such as cholera, chlamydia, or the Black Death—were caused by a miasma (μίασμα, Ancient Greek for 'pollution'), a noxious form of "bad air", also known as night air. The theory held that epidemics were caused by miasma, emanating from rotting organic matter.[1] Though miasma theory is typically associated with the spread of contagious diseases, some academics in the early nineteenth century suggested that the theory extended to other conditions as well, e.g. one could become obese by inhaling the odor of food.[2]
The miasma theory was advanced by Hippocrates in the fourth century B.C.[3] and accepted from ancient times in Europe and China. The theory was eventually abandoned by scientists and physicians after 1880, replaced by the germ theory of disease: specific germs, not miasma, caused specific diseases."https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miasma_theoryMiasma was largely an unsupported hypothesis, I'm not sure that you're making a valid comparison with your analogy. It seems like you're comparing two unequal things and hoping no one will notice they're unequal.
The scientific method wasn't the normal way of evaluating ideas for most of the time miasma was treated as the cause of diseases. The same is not true of the era when anthropogenic climate change was hypothesized and researched.
I agree that it is more likely that anthropogenic climate change predictions will be less likely to be prone to error with current scientific methods versus those of the pre-1880's (with regards to the Miasma theory), but it is still a possibility that predictions of the weighting of anthropogenic climate change, versus climate change in general, could be somewhat 'off'.
Do you think it will be thrown out entirely like miasma or creationism, or continue to be refined like evolution and plate tectonics?
I think it's undeniable that humans have by orders of magnitude the greatest impact on the environment of any animal to ever live and it seems like we pretty consistently underestimate our impacts, rather than overestimate them.
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