King Kat 1 wrote:
I wouldn't hold my breath on that.
Carter, very decent man as was his family. His presidency was a combination of bad luck and just not being a good fit for the job. He went in thinking he could run the country like he did the state of Georgia. Democrats in George at the time were way different than the ones in DC, in some respects.
The Malise speech, while meaning to be candid about the problems facing the country backfired. Interest rates sky high, gas lines, and the revolution in Iran couple with a failed plan to free the hostages doomed him. Got completely destroyed by Reagan in 80.
In short, he's seen as a decent man and was well respected, just not seen so much as a good president. Making it to 100 is impressive and he led a good life.
As hard as it is to imagine these days in the wake of Vietnam and Watergate saying “I will never lie to you” worked as a campaign strategy. Once he won the ‘76 nomination it was clear sailing. Any Democrat would have beaten Ford two years after Ford pardoned Nixon.
His presidency was mediocre and was affected by events beyond his control.
This was an era when Presidents and Congressional leadership no matter what they said about each other during the day in front of cameras, got plastered and made deals at night. Carter did not do that, that was just not who he was. That meant Congress felt no obligation to pass his agenda or enthusiastically campaign for him.
He gets the most praise for his role in crafting the Israeli-Egyptian peace agreement that has lasted until this day. Sadat deserves the most credit as it was his idea to fly to Israel and address the Knesset just three years after a bitter war. Begin deserves credit for very reluctantly accepting. Carter deserves a lot of credit for the Camp David Accords a year later. It took 12 days of fraught negotiations.
Carter never uttered the word “malaise” during that 1979 speech. But what he was describing was real. In the wake of Vietnam and Watergate the American public was inward looking and apathetic politically. The 1970s was called the me decade for a reason. Not a good look politically but IMO not the major factor a year later.
What did him in was inflation and the Iran hostage crises. 9 percent inflation two years before the election was if not the major factor in the Democratic candidate losing this year was a major factor. Carter ran for re-election with an inflation rate of 13.5 percent.
The inflation was rooted on the Iranian Revolution. This revolution caused a oil shortage that caused long lines at gas stations and a rise in oil prices. Since so much is dependent on oil, a rise in oil prices spreads inflation throughout the economy.
The Iranian revolution replaced the authoritarian Shah of Iran who gained power via CIA coup with the Islamic Republic. Despite being the first President to emphasize human rights in foreign policy Carter continued the policy of unequivocal support for the Shah throughout the revolution. Not only did the new regime hate America for supporting an authoritarian but an authoritarian that brought “decadent” westernization to Iran. Against the State Departments advice Carter let the Shah into America to receive cancer treatment. Shorty thereafter “students” stormed the American Embassy taking the diplomates hostage with a demand that the Shah be returned to Iran for trial.
If you did not live then it is hard to explain how obsessed Americans became with the plight of the hostages. Today Americans held hostage somewhere is normalized. Then it was still new. The students were believed to have support of the government. Storming an embassy was a breaking of norms of the highest order. Malaise was over. Yellow Ribbons and America flags everywhere. Iranian flags burned, the song “Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran” played on the radio, thoughts and emotional prayers, the evening news ending with “America Held Hostage Day 50” etc.
Carter embarked on a strategy of negotiating with “moderates” for their release. It did not go well because as soon as a person to negotiate was found that person lost their authority or never had it in the first place. After a few months of this Carter ordered a rescue mission that not only had to be aborted but ended up with two rescue helicopters crashing into each other, a pathetic look. It is hard to say how much a President is at fault in these situations but as Commender in Chief he takes the blame.
Most importantly if Carter had dumped the Shah once the revolution started would things have played out differently? I don’t know. The hostage crises continued after the Shah left America and after he died. So was the continued support of the Shah the cause or a Casus belli? It should be noted that aiding a fallen ally is common diplomatic practice.
I would have treated the takeover of the American embassy as an act of war and ordered a blockade of Iran. This was considered such a breech of protocol that America would have had no trouble getting other countries to cooperate.
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DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity
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