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letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 8:44 pm

I was just wondering. Im nuts over the weather. Myself and another forecaster run a hurricane center called "Midwest Hurricane Center" We issue out own forecast and prelimnary reports on storms. www.freewebs.com/mwhc


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letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 8:45 pm

here is my Charley report. MWHC is going with a cat5 at landfall.

Quote:
[size=[18]Preliminary report[/size]

[size=18Hurricane Charley[/size]

Aug 9-15, 2004

Tom Smugala

Midwest Hurricane Center

Hurricane Charley was a category five hurricane on the Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale that made landfall along north Captiva Island in Southwest Florida on the Afternoon of August 13 and caused devestating damage in Charlotte County and surronding areas. Preliminary figures show damage to be at least 30 billion dollars along with estimated 25 fatalities.

History.



Charley formed from a westward moving tropical wave on August 9th about 100 miles east of the Winward Islands. Charley moved at a very fast speed to just south of Jamacia on the 11th as a hurricane and made landfall early on the 13th near Playa Del Cajio with sustained winds estimated at 120 mph. Charley weakend to a category two hurricane with sustained winds of 110mph while moving over western Cuba and moved over the Dry Tortugas while once again becoming a major hurricane. It's estimated around noon eastern time Charley became a category 4 hurricane with sustained winds around 135mph. Over the next several hours leading to landfall Charley based on radar and satellite continued to rapidly intensify and around 3pm edt right before first landfall on Captiva Island it's estimated that Charley hit category 5 status with sustained winds of 160mph in a very narrow area around the eye. Around 430 pm edt the eye of Charley made second landfall near Punta Gorda with sustained winds around 150 mph. Hurricane force sustained winds extended about 35 miles from the center with hurricane force gust extending about 60 miles from the center. Widespread damage occured in Lee, Charlotte, and Desoto counties. Minor damage was also noted in Collier county. The most severe damage occured in Costal Lee county and Charlotte counties. Severe Damage occured on captiva Island as Charley made landfall at peak intensity. Storm surge is only estimated at around 10 feet cause of the northest movement of the storm prevented a more severe surge. Most buildings on Captiva island sustained Severe damage. A inlet a couple hundred yards wide also cut thru the island. Damage in the Charlotte County area was more severe due to mobile homes and older buildings. Most buildings in the landfall zone in Charlotte county sustained Severe or total damage from the winds. Most mobile homes were destroyed along with many roofs missing off busnisses and homes. Charlotte Regional Medical Center sustained Severe damage along with the Charlotte County Sherffis dept building was destroyed. As Charley moved inland Severe damage was also noted in Arcadia where winds estimated around 140mph caused devestation and blew the roof of a shelter off. later in the night Charley passed over Orlando Florida where wind gust of over 100mph occured causing widespread power outages and damage. As Charley exited Florida just off Daytona beach with sustained winds estimated at 80mph Charley made landfall again on Midday on the 14th near Cape Ramin in South Carolina with sustained winds of 80mph. The center moved offshore once again and made landfall near Myrtle Beach with sustained winds of 80mph. Charley then moved over North carolina and Virgina where he became Extra Tropical and became intrained with a frontal system over New England.


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letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 9:15 pm

Some charley images.

Image

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Scoots5012
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25 Oct 2004, 10:35 pm

I'm a weather nut too! Both of these pics can be found locally here
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grb

Image

Image


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Tom_FL_MA
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25 Oct 2004, 10:42 pm

I am interested in meteorology, as if you didn't already know. :) -- by reading my profile and more obvious, viewing my avatar... it's the Ruskin (Tampa Bay, FL Area) National Weather Service Radar.



letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 10:56 pm

I love all wx, but living in Florida for 11 years and a close call with Andrew I fell in love with hurricanes. Growing up in Stl I was big on severe wx. I wish I was in Florida for Charly. I would have went and chase Charley and stand in it.


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Tom_FL_MA
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 11:28 pm

letsGoBlues wrote:
I wish I was in Florida for Charly. I would have went and chase Charley and stand in it.

...and get injured and possible even die?



letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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25 Oct 2004, 11:45 pm

Tom_FL_MA wrote:
letsGoBlues wrote:
I wish I was in Florida for Charly. I would have went and chase Charley and stand in it.

...and get injured and possible even die?


No. Jim Edds, Jim Leonard, Chris Collura were in the eye. Chris got trapped out in the eye and almost got killed. It was amazing. Im so hungry for a major hurricane. When Charley came your way did you stand in it?


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Tom_FL_MA
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26 Oct 2004, 4:06 am

So, yes... Chris "almost got killed." Hurricanes cause injury and death. I am sure you heard of the loss of live with this year's storms.

Liking meteorology, in this case, specifically hurricanes, still should come the understanding that they are nature's fury. They cause serious problems in our lives. Long lasting power outages for one thing. (I never lost power with France or Jeanne, but those not too far from me in even this immediate area, did).

The eye, passing over Orlando didn't even produce 30 mph winds and intensity of the rain was quite light here... and I am "only" 45 miles NW of Orlando.



Last edited by Tom_FL_MA on 26 Oct 2004, 4:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.

letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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26 Oct 2004, 3:58 pm

Odd just 45 miles away Orlando had winds over 100mph. Charley was a compact storm. Even a little smaller then Andrew. If Charley would have hit just 20 miles south the damage would have been 10 times as bad.


Charley chaser clip. This looks like alot of fun. I wish I did this for a living.

http://www.bnvn.com/hurricane_charley/H ... _HiRes.wmv


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hale_bopp
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03 Nov 2004, 5:22 am

I love weather!

Hurricanes I find very interesting, but a a great intrest yet a great fear of mine is a tornado.

I read up alot about weather, and used to have a huge poster about different types of clouds :D



Archmage
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03 Nov 2004, 5:12 pm

hale_bopp wrote:
I love weather!

Hurricanes I find very interesting, but a a great intrest yet a great fear of mine is a tornado.

I read up alot about weather, and used to have a huge poster about different types of clouds :D


Hello, Hale Bopp. i am Archmage, and i am a big weather fanatic like you. we dont get many hurricanes in Tennessee, but every now and then a huge storm will bring a tornado near us. i want to be a meteorologist when i grow up (im 13, by the way), but until then i want to be a data collector for the NWS. my grandparents are going to get me some basic instruments for this purpose by Christmas (i hope :( ).

I know this is kinda off topic, but i want to take a crack at guessing your avatar. (it is one of my pastimes at this site.) Let's see... it is Link from the Legend of Zelda, and i'd say it is one of the older versions of him.

Gotta go. See ya!

Archmage


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ketas
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01 Dec 2004, 8:15 pm

oh yes, they are powerful an cool until they blow off your own roof or something else



animallover
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02 Dec 2004, 11:30 pm

I am obcessed with the weather - and, while I am very scared of encountering a tornado in my house, I think it would be fun to go out tornado chasing with someone who knows what they are doing . . . apparently tornados follow pretty fixed paths if you are a moving object it is not difficult to stay out of their way . . .



letsGoBlues
Deinonychus
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03 Dec 2004, 1:11 am

animallover wrote:
I am obcessed with the weather - and, while I am very scared of encountering a tornado in my house, I think it would be fun to go out tornado chasing with someone who knows what they are doing . . . apparently tornados follow pretty fixed paths if you are a moving object it is not difficult to stay out of their way . . .


Well your weak ones do, but your 3, 4 and 5's that form in supercells can change direction.


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MishLuvsHer2Boys
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03 Dec 2004, 7:28 am

Gee based on that, Hurricane Juan did damage and was more powerful than the expected Category 1 it was originally said to be but yet was more to a Category 2. Based on that there shouldn't have been any really major damage to homes in Halifax NS, but there was.